https://bsky.app/profile/robertdownen.bsky.social/post/3lwwntxygqc2w Thiel doing a neo-nazi thing. For people keeping score.
After spending hundreds of hours per mod year trying to get a Wronger on the Right track , mod Habryka spends multiple hours writing a post explaining why the Wronger gets a 3 year ban
Bonus appearance of r/SneerClub right after the preamble!
Saw this in an anthropic presentation:
Ah yes let’s use AI to get rid of the drudgery and toil so humanity can do the most enjoyable activity of writing OKRs
By 2029, the AI will even be capable of completing our TPS reports.
Surely they have proof for the already increased capabilities of coding. Because increased capabilities is quite something to claim. It isn't just productivity, but capabilities. Can they put a line on the graph where capabilities reach the 'can solve the knapsack problem correctly and fast' bit?
Oxford Economist in the NYT says that AI is going to kill cities if they don't prepare for change. (Original, paywalled)
I feel like this is at most half the picture. The analogy to new manufacturing technologies in the 70s is apt in some ways, and the threat of this specific kind of economic disruption hollowing out entire communities is very real. But at the same time as orthodox economists so frequently do his analysis only hints at some of the political factors in the relevant decisions that are if anything more important than technological change alone.
In particular, he only makes passing reference to the Detroit and Pittsburgh industrial centers being "sprawling, unionized compounds" (emphasis added). In doing so he briefly highlights how the changes that technology enabled served to disempower labor. Smaller and more distributed factories can't unionize as effectively, and that fragmentation empowers firms to reduce the wages and benefits of the positions they offer even as they hire people in the new areas. For a unionized auto worker in Detroit, even if they had replaced the old factories with new and more efficient ones the kind of job that they had previously worked that had allowed them to support themselves and their families at a certain quality of life was still gone.
This fits into our AI skepticism rather neatly, because if the political dimension of disempowering labor is what matters then it becomes largely irrelevant whether LLM-based "AI" products and services can actually perform as advertised. Rather than being the central cause of this disruption it becomes the excuse, and so it just has to be good enough to create the narrative. It doesn't need to actually be able to write code like a junior developer in order to change the senior developer's job to focus on editing and correcting code-shaped blocks of tokens checked in by the hallucination machine. This also means that it's not going to "snap back" when the AI bubble pops because the impacts on labor will have already happened, any more than it was possible to bring back the same kinds of manufacturing jobs that built families in the postwar era once they had been displaced in the 70s and 80s.
BLOOMBERG BREAKING: Sam Altman promises that GPT-6 will generate Ghibli images with levels of piss yellow heretofore "unseen"
imagine how fucking terrible it must be to be in this room
(and I won't lie: there's definitely a moment that Inglorious Basterds briefly flashed to mind)
There is a problem where well-endowed men will go to public places, drop trou, and do the helicopter dance.
This is called an indiscreet log-a-rhythm, and can be solved with quantum computers (or so I'm told).
Not a sneer, but there is this yt'er called the Elephant Graveyard (who I know nothing about apart from these vids) who did a three part series on Joe Rogan, the downfall of comedy, hyperreality, which is weirdly relevant, esp part 3 where suddenly there are some surprise visits.
Part 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EuKibmlll4
Michael Hiltzik in LATimes: "Say farewell to the AI bubble, and get ready for the crash"
Fun quote:
The rest of [AI 2027], mapping a course to late 2027 when an AI agent “finally understands its own cognition,” is so loopily over the top that I wondered whether it wasn’t meant as a parody of excessive AI hype. I asked its creators if that was so, but haven’t received a reply.
In other news, bodhidave reported a case of Google AI and ChatGPT making identical citation fuck-ups:
altman is the waluigi to musk’s wario
Why would you do waluigi and wario dirty like that?
i have on good authority (ed zitron's low effort skeets) that wario works for anthropic, and his surname is amodei
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