386
submitted 8 months ago by LaFinlandia@sopuli.xyz to c/ukraine@sopuli.xyz
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[-] PugJesus@lemmy.world 107 points 8 months ago

He's right. The US can't be relied on for the next four years, at minimum. Hell, parts of the apparatus might be turned against European security.

Please, look after yourselves.

[-] AnUnusualRelic@lemmy.world 33 points 8 months ago

And what Trump is likely to destroy in the coming years will take ages to rebuild, assuming it ever is.

We all hope it will be enough to shock the European governments into cooperating for once, but the odds are really stacked against that, even if some are willing.

[-] cultsuperstar@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

I'm hopefully being extremely pessimistic, but if the Rs have their way (and since they'll control all 3 branches of government, they most certainly will have their way), America will be a much different country. There may not be anything to rebuild because America will be exactly the way they want it to be and there won't be any more parties to go against them. The likelihood that America will be an authoritarian government is pretty high.

[-] Ismay@programming.dev 23 points 8 months ago

Hasn't been in the last 8 years. At least.

The world can't keep building around a strong USA.

[-] Buffalox@lemmy.world 17 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

It's not just about the next 4 years, we can't base our defense on a country we can only rely on for 4 years at a time.
There were already problems with Bush Jr. then Trump once, and now Trump again.
You'd have to be insane to believe this is just a one or two off, and things will get back to normal.
Normalcy regarding NATO ended already with Bush.

The times where USA was the deciding factor in most world policies, because USA was backed up by the majority of the global economy is over.
USA loses just as much as Europe and many other US allies. Trump said our so called friends are our true enemies. Trump believes Canada, UK, EU etc are enemies, and he has said directly that Russia and China are "not so bad". Despite Russia is invading in Europe, and threatening nuclear war, and China is behaving ever more aggressively in the China sea and against Taiwan, and in general against their neighbors.

[-] PugJesus@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago
[-] DrGeraintLLannfrancheta@nafo.army 1 points 8 months ago
[-] Buffalox@lemmy.world 5 points 8 months ago

I don't think NATO is dead, but NATO allies can't rely on USA, and USA was by far the biggest military force in NATO.
Everything else was mostly built to support American forces, which in case of an article 5 situation is the commander of the NATO forces.

[-] SARGE@startrek.website 10 points 8 months ago

US can’t be relied on for the next four years, at minimum.

Probably Optimistic :(

I don't think the US has been reliable since 2016 at the latest. And honestly after this... I don't think it ever will be again.

[-] cultsuperstar@lemmy.world 3 points 8 months ago

Don't be surprised if Trump pulls the US out of NATO and UN. He hates both of those organizations.

[-] Rakenclaw@fedia.io 28 points 8 months ago

I guess this will be the end of NATO. Such a dark future.

[-] ObviouslyNotBanana@lemmy.world 11 points 8 months ago

I don't think that's it, but I do think it will endure massive strain.

[-] Realitaetsverlust@lemmy.zip 1 points 8 months ago

Leaving NATO requires a 2/3th majority in the american congress, which the republicans didn't quite have. However, trump can obviously keep back troops, gear and money. But he can't just leave like the Paris climate deal thingy.

[-] angrystego@lemmy.world 1 points 8 months ago

That still seems like the end of NATO to me. No need to leave, just make it disfunctional.

[-] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 26 points 8 months ago

Yes Macron said this back in 2017

https://www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-macron/2017/09/26/president-macron-gives-speech-on-new-initiative-for-europe

literally point number one:

  1. A Europe that guarantees security in all its aspects

In terms of defence, Europe must have a joint intervention force, a joint defence budget and a joint doctrine for action. We need to encourage the swift creation of a European Defence Fund, permanent structured cooperation, and supplement them with a European intervention initiative that better integrates our armed forces at all stages.

and what has changed since then and what is being implemented?

[-] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 12 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Any decent EU military needs a common EU foreign policy. Both of those need treaty changes. Also Macron says a lot about Europe, but when he got the opportunity for action tends to fall short. France was in a great position to lead on Ukraine aid, but did not perform that amazingly.

EDIT: EU ammo purchases for Ukraine have been launched and some EU military organizational work as well, such as EU missions in Mali, the Red Sea and some other places. Also some good cooperation such as Germany and Netherlands integrating their armies.

[-] barsoap@lemm.ee 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Organisation is actually pretty good at the battalion level, there's plenty of EU Battlegroups integrating neighbouring armies on a deep level -- or at least making them acquainted with each other. Gotta know the MRE exchange rates. And that's not counting stuff that you mentioned, like the Dutch land army being rolled into German C&C or the German/French brigade.

What's lacking are strategic C&C capabilities on the EU level: There's just too few of them, there should be more cooperation on that level (member states have those kinds of capabilities) which is exactly what the "EU army" thing is about, operationally. Although it has to be said that push come to shove, with so many EU members in NATO, everyone would just re-assign everything NATO to the EU should the NATO fall flat. Armies have scrambled into fighting stances from worse positions.

Macron could lead Europe, yes, but first he has to manage to lead France.

[-] barsoap@lemm.ee 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Back then, Germany was barely warming up to the idea of a EU military. Now it seems to be a done deal, the European motor is going to churn and Poland seems to want to be part of it.

[-] Bookmeat@lemmy.world 2 points 8 months ago

Poland doesn't want to be the welcome mat again.

[-] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 22 points 8 months ago

Yep. Sorry our politics are so absolutely fucked, everyone. This is the end of Pax Americana. We’re going isolationist, and probably also fascist and theocratic. I’m going to leave the country.

[-] Skyrmir@lemmy.world 17 points 8 months ago

Europe is going to have to get proactive about it's security too. Just defending themselves from Putin and Xi won't be enough.

[-] Valmond@lemmy.world 16 points 8 months ago

Yes yes yes!

Fuck Orbath and let's rally around democracy and helping Ukraine!

[-] Bookmeat@lemmy.world 15 points 8 months ago

It was Poland in WW2. It's Ukraine now. Poland remembers.

[-] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 10 points 8 months ago

The EU has to start to replace NATO. That at least means some shared assets like maybe ballistic missile defense, AWACS and similar assets. Combined procurement would also be a great idea. Something like ESA, but with some common EU funding as well.

[-] Realitaetsverlust@lemmy.zip 8 points 8 months ago

Every country should have a good defense. But I remember very well how I was flamed for saying we should invest way more into military. "No no no, you have no clue, you're stupid, the world is way too connected, conventional wars don't work anymore etc."

Well. How the turntables.

[-] felis_catus_domesticus@toot.io 4 points 8 months ago

@LaFinlandia well, that's been true since 1949..

it's only the Europeans who are suddenly waking up this. DE have been underperforming NATO slackers since day 1.
Now the chickens come home to roost.

[-] lurch@sh.itjust.works 3 points 8 months ago

To be fair, it really looked like we were about to achieve world peace like 15 years ago. EU didn't expect russia to start a war etc.. In my region they minimized the military over and over, as it seemed we had no enemies.

[-] felis_catus_domesticus@toot.io 1 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

@lurch True, but it seems that since 1991 the Poles and Romanians have operated under a very different perspective and understanding of history. Probably because the threat was closer to their front door.

[-] felis_catus_domesticus@toot.io 0 points 8 months ago

@lurch it really looked like we were about to achieve world peace

A naieve way to read & think about history

[-] lurch@sh.itjust.works 1 points 8 months ago

Back then, we were thinking about the future, not the past. The Iraq war was coming to an end and all other conflicts seemed to have stalled. None of them involved us anyway and our politicians often offered their help in peace negotiations. It felt, like we were generally respected and had no enemies. Maybe we really had none, but then the fire nation attacked and of course we backed Ukraine and now we have an enemy again.

this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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