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this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2025
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TechTakes
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Robin Hanson has a sneerworthy level of hubris that has lead to him falling for all sorts of BS over the years (he's long argued that being an economist makes him more rational and better at working out the truth than domain experts at all fields of science, apparently because only economists have heard of incentives) but I was still surprised to learn he's now a UFO conspiracy nut.
Presumably he caught some History channel rerun of Ancient Aliens and was struck by how much more plausible it was than his "Age of Em" theory.
What's more plausible, that I made a bad assumption in my fermi estimation or that all the world's governments have been undertaking the most wildly successful coverup for nearly a century with no leaks or failures? Clearly the latter.
Also credulously reiterating Trump's stupid "Department of War" rebrand... makes me think his writing is narrowly targeted at a certain group
Whats your P(Yakub)
0 isnt a real probability, so i gotta give it the gentleman’s 50:50
Hanson into conspiracies, Goertzel into parapsychology, going well on the rational/transhuman side.
E: seems ssc is pushing miracles now as well : https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-fatima-sun-miracle-much-more