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this post was submitted on 28 Jun 2026
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TechTakes
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Does anyone actually believe this? What the heck does bullshit-text engines or fake-image-generators contribute towards discovering ANYTHING, delivering ANYTHING, producing ANYTHING? The only thing there is any argument for at all is delivering quick-and-dirty code, which is hardly connected to any of those tired promises.
Current copium is that if it can solve Erdos problems after a fashion then the cancer annihilating molecular biology breakthroughs can't be that far behind.
Also since just shovelling GPUs and reddit posts into a data center forever probably won't do the trick they've settled on the questionmarks on the list before Profit! being Recursive Self Improvement, meaning that since automatic code generation is somewhat improving it follows that pretty soon LLMs will just code themselves out of their current predicament of being unsustainably resource intensive hallucination machines and build AGI on their own.
I really like how in the past couple of years they've decided model collapse just isn't a thing anymore.
They just don't call it model collapse, and that fixes the problem. (Somebody on bsky said 'hey that isn't actually model collapse, read this article on it written by the AI company'. And then the article described model collapse, but didn't call it model collapse, it was amusing. (And I went into it, thinking I could be wrong, going 'ah so it is only related to a specific set of instructions', but then the article also showed that models without those instructions had the the problem (in a much smaller way, but the bad instructions were spreading due to synthetic data))).
Reminds me of OpenAI's blog post explaining the goblins. It described textbook model collapse, but somehow avoided saying the actual words "model collapse" even once.
I was talking about that one, shit didn't I even mention the goblins? Lol, sorry about that.
every week of work with biologists brings another "guess we doin circles now" moment. there's simply so many things that were never measured, measuring them requires knowing what are you doing, proper experimental design and interpretation of results, that are affected by myriad factors and dozens of feedback loops. none of that is in training data of course, and even if it was it would help very little because humans measuring that would make better use of these results first. but don't worry about that, machine god will learn relativity from three video frames and will make peter thiel immortal right away
The people who believe it are the MBAs and tech bros. They believe it because they desperately want for it to be true so that they can lay off all their staff and make 100% profit (these are not clever people and they haven't considered that if no-one has any income they won't have any customers. However, they do value geese).