You did?

Thanks. I mean, it's not like I came to this argument with an full and detailed understanding of the orbital mechanics involved, but I don't think they did either, while displaying the confidence of someone that does.

Yeah, I feel like we're not getting anywhere, and neither of us seems to have the energy to cite any evidence, so let's just agree to disagree.

I do get the energy/velocity aspect, what I am less sure on is whether it is likely that enough material would be placed on courses through higher orbits that a chain reaction in those becomes likely.

I think it's kinda funny to be annoyed about Lemmy "turning into reddit", while also reverting to personal insults.

Sure, but you seem to also present an opinion, based on sentiment from your friends. Since we both seem to lazy to actually figure it out properly, I feel we're at an impasse.

Well, now that we all collectively solved that problem, you gotta go and buy a boat.

Pulling them out of my ass, mostly. Like, the people I know in the field don't seem overly worried, but my own opinion mostly comes from a general awareness that stuff in LEO comes down eventually, and that for the orbit the Starlink Stuff is on, that would probably mean a few years max.

Not my field, and if I actually research it, I might find I'm wrong.

I still maintain that even a complete loss of launch and orbital capability, while of course a great and horrible disaster, wouldn't doom us much more than our current course as a species already is.

As someone guessed above - Stranded: Alien Dawn

Yup, Stranded: Alien Dawn.

Kinda. It's still all very silly and stupid, but the 747-8 is a few metres longer, and generally more modern than the 747-200b the current VC25A are based on.

Earlier this year, I got a game I liked on steam. Pretty much 3d Rimworld. After playing for 20 hours over a few weeks, I sporadically started getting errors about me having "no hardware activations" left for the game, and how I should wait 24 hours. I have never installed it on any other machine.

It is so very silly that a pirated copy would be the more seamless experience.

Oh, I mean, it would be bad, even if it "just" meant no/unsafe launches and no LEO for X months/years. I just kinda feels it pales compared to the climate related problems coming generations are likely to face.