The entire US economy right now is 7 companies sending a trillion fake dollars back and forth to each other, but it's totally not a bubble according to grampa Powell.
but they actually have earnings.
Of course they have. But the spendings are bigger.
Microsoft, Nvidia, AMD, Oracle and Intel are all profitable. They might not be worth as much, but still.
Those are all shovel sellers. People stop buying shovels when the gold rush goes bust.
The shovel manufacturers will probably be fine, just reduced margins, but the shovel warehouses are so fucked holding nearly a trillion dollars of worthless shovels
In the words of Pat Gelsinger, we're about to see a lot of digestion.
more like, they are hoping IRON pyrite(fools gold) would be innovating as good as normal good or better.
Yes. It will all fall apart when all the regular businesses (not AI companies) realize that AI is just wasting their money and creating a big mess, not actually increasing their profits. These are supposed to be the big customers for AI and they’re really not benefiting from it at all.
the customers being only other CEOs and middle managment, whom try to reduce headcount/excuse to fire people. on some of the subs they discussed how the offshored tech indian teams are not as good as the ones in the west(EU, South america, and USA)
some people made money during the gold rush selling shovels and eggs.
Oh, i didn't think of hardware suppliers.
That's the exact type of thing you hear near the peak of a bubble.
And all of our retirement accounts are tied to this not-a-bubble
That's why I protect my retirement from bubbles by investing in Bitcoin.
People are so fucking stupid these days I can't tell if it's a joke.
Invest in global market index(es). At least try to diversify so that it's not all S&P 500.
Of course there's earnings. It's just you don't know the company that's making money. It goes to another market so you wouldn't have seen it before.
Well, there's earnings, from Nvidia.
it goes from nvidia, open AI, oracle, MS, google and then back in a circle again and again.
I wonder how much Powell invested in the Ai bubble to say that. Dotcoms and subprimes had revenue too during their bubbles.
These people are too big to fail. They will torch civilization, and this planet, to hold onto what they have.
One way to save some of us (but not them).
Hmm, when people like Powell start explaining that it's not a bubble, I hear that it's going to pop sooner rather than later. Especially when he cites "trust me, bro" as evidence.
and coincidentally at the same times GATES AND altman said the same thing about it busting.
The name of the crime that graph illustrates is "Round Tripping".
Pump a group of stocks by moving money in circles and if you're a short sighted fool you do this several times with leverage on leverage.
It is Palantir. I bet they are doing evil shit. The way Israel targeted public option and media to navigate what should have been quickly shut down by overwhelming public sentiment, was very abnormal from the abstract overview perspective.
Knowing all the stuff I have seen messing with my offline AI server on my hardware over the last two years, the amount of data scraped and collected by google for everyone on the internet should be more than enough to actively manipulate everyone both logically and emotionally. There is enormous political capital in that manipulative power.
We are experiencing the equivalent of the invention of the nuclear bomb for propaganda. Artificial agents that can manipulate people in ways we won't understand fully for decades. We are fighting for the human mind right now and no one is talking about it except j4k3.
These fools are lying so often and obviously that they are starting to finally lose their base. They can't even keep their own lies straight.
We call this the "breathing in one's own farts to admire them" stage
Pretty sure Pets.com had earnings, too.
I believe all pyramid schemes have earnings. The problem is that the bag has so far been shown to be pretty empty and somebody is going to be left holding it.
Ooh I saw the answer to that today. It’s the suckers who buy into the OpenAI $1 trillion dollar IPO
One trillion usd ipo? If that's not a scam I've never heard of scams.
I mean, if you add enough circles to your graph, it just shows how the entire economy works. What's the cutoff point where it's an obvious bubble and when it is just normal economics in motion?
Sure, these companies have earnings, but then they go burn all of it plus more on training and inference and data centers and whatever the fuck else. It's not profitable and it never will be. And yet they're willing to bankrupt the country on this egregore that Sam Altman and his ilk have created.
It's worse than that. The revenue of all except for NVIDIA (which supplies the graphics chips) is by selling subsidized products. It's the classic Silicon Valley model of "growth at any cost" and then enshittifying; except the product they're offering is intolerably expensive.
The AI products are not just losing money as a corporation; They're losing money on making their revenue. Most will not pay $200 for a month of chatbot interactions. Most will not pay $200 to generate a handful of sloptok videos. The number of users of these AI programs is so high because the product is sold at a loss -- and is being shoved in everyone's face, all the time. It's free/cheap entertainment for lonely and bored people. Once it hits their wallet, those commonfolk are gone.
Yup, the only real winner here is Nvidia, for selling the shovels for the gold rush. All the "AI" companies are just spending money to lose money. But I guarantee that - somehow - all of us commonfolk will be left holding the bag, not Clammy Sammy Altman.
It'll probably be like W. Bush - a big bailout right as the Republican leaders are leaving their term. :P
We need bag holders and we need them NOW!
from what ive read, it could be retail that would be left holding the bag, and when that happens people in those industries will start losing jobs.
Not sure what you mean by "people in those industries". In investment parlance, "retail" isn't an industry, its individual investors. Y'know, people on the Robin Hood app YOLOing their life savings into Nvidia. So which industries are you referring to?
Just get Trump to shill it to his base; Like $TRUMP and $MELANIA and $TUAH and the golden "It's Trump Time" watches and the Trump phone. Real patriots buy Open AI.
people were discussing this on reddit they said, the AI companies are hoping a retails(investors) sucker would be holding the bag, after they all cashed out.
I hope retail won't be that stupid, but knowing WSB exists... It wouldn't shock me.
Either way, there will be blood.
Nah this is a legit shell game I swear.
Those things are not mutually exclusive, JP!
It’s a dome
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