The polling/ exit results is so confused in this past week.
None of the polls are based on reality anymore. They are all being gamed.
No I don't believe that. Its counter-productive to engage in conspiratorial thinking.
Polls haven't been accurate in a long time now. Election betting sites have said they are being manipulated. DJT stock price is being used as a way of showing "market acceptance of trump". It's all being gamed. It's not conspiratorial at all.
https://www.mediaite.com/news/you-are-lying-nate-silver-accuses-pollsters-of-putting-their-fcking-finger-on-the-scale/
https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers/
It’s not conspiratorial at all.
No, what you are engaging in is anti-scientific, conspiratorial thinking. Gallup isn't being gamed. Emerson isn't being gamed. Times-Sienna isn't being gamed.
And there is some funny business out there, but polling is still polling. There are real criticisms you can make here around methodology, or how when a metric becomes a target it ceases to be a metric, and maybe you could dig into issues like that. But to just be dismissive like this is, well, its anti-intellectual and anti-factual.
I literally just ignored a poll called (phone even IDd them as Survey) so ... Let's try not to read too much into polls. Instead, vote.
I just looked at the current polls and it is close. Like, I cannot believe that this many people have watched all of this shit and are still voting for him.
Please go out and vote.
Vote, bitches 🤘
The Democrats have to win by enough of a margin that it can’t be taken away from them by a rush of spurious lawsuits aided by partisan judges. If they’ve won a state but invalidating a few batches of votes would undo that, they haven’t actually won it.
Republicans dont even need to win states they lost just to have their results rejected by Congress and the election having no one get to 270. In that case the house votes by state which Republicans win easily.
Doesn't matter. Don't let them make you complacent. Go vote!
Even if you think he'll lose, the House (unless the Dems take it) will very likely try to block certification, force a per-state count instead of a per-delegate count, and punt it it to Supreme Court.
So give as little leeway as possible. The more he loses by the harder his next little coup attempt will be
When the votes are counted, the presiding officer will be VP Kamala Harris, not the House Speaker.
And the only way to block a state's certification is if both the House and Senate agree. Otherwise they have to accept the results certified by the governor.
One body can reject forever, nothing forces them to accept.
That's not how it works.
When the EV's for a state are counted, the House and Senate have one opportunity to object.
If there is an objection, a vote is called. A majority in both houses is necessary to reject those EVs.
If there is not a majority in both houses then the motion fails, the EV's are accepted, and the VP moves on to the next state.
The house and the president will almost certainly swing the same way. This is nothing to worry about.
Midterms tend to favor the opposing party
The most enthusiastic voter still only gets one vote.
Less enthusiastic voters don't cast votes.
If only enthusiasm countered the unjustness of voter suppression and the electoral college.
Exactly. I have no doubt Harris will win the popular vote. Unfortunately that's not necessarily good enough to win. And even if she wins, Trump supporters are absolutely not interested in a civilized society.
LETS FUCKING GOOOOOO!!! Shit yes.
Too bad enthusiasm doesn't pay the bills. We dont need enthusiasm, we need policy that benefits the working class, instead we get jingoistic platitudes
enthusiasm doesn't pay the bills
We don't need your platitudes either
Gallup - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Gallup:
MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Insider - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Insider:
Wiki: mixed - There is no consensus on the reliability of Insider. The site's syndicated content, which may not be clearly marked, should be evaluated by the reliability of its original publisher. See also: Insider (culture).
Wiki: reliable - There is consensus that Insider is generally reliable for its coverage in its culture section. See also: Insider (excluding culture).
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Insider - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Insider:
Wiki: mixed - There is no consensus on the reliability of Insider. The site's syndicated content, which may not be clearly marked, should be evaluated by the reliability of its original publisher. See also: Insider (culture).
Wiki: reliable - There is consensus that Insider is generally reliable for its coverage in its culture section. See also: Insider (excluding culture).
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Insider - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Insider:
Wiki: mixed - There is no consensus on the reliability of Insider. The site's syndicated content, which may not be clearly marked, should be evaluated by the reliability of its original publisher. See also: Insider (culture).
Wiki: reliable - There is consensus that Insider is generally reliable for its coverage in its culture section. See also: Insider (excluding culture).
MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Media Bias Fact Check | bot supportSearch topics on Ground.News
https://news.gallup.com/poll/652853/half-votes-likely-cast-election-day.aspx
https://www.businessinsider.com/democrats-voting-enthusiasm-poll-kamla-harris-obama-2008-campaign-2024-8
https://www.businessinsider.com/democrats-republicans-voter-enthusiasm-swing-state-polls-2024-10
https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-15-days-swing-states-polling-2024-10
Why did we get 5 reports on this one?
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