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Sam Altman, the recently fired (and rehired) chief executive of Open AI, was asked earlier this year by his fellow tech billionaire Patrick Collison what he thought of the risks of synthetic biology. ‘I would like to not have another synthetic pathogen cause a global pandemic. I think we can all agree that wasn’t a great experience,’ he replied. ‘Wasn’t that bad compared to what it could have been, but I’m surprised there has not been more global coordination and I think we should have more of that.’

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[-] dgerard@awful.systems 32 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

this thread appears to have attracted keyword-seeking bad posters. these fine posters have been escorted to the egress and may continue to enjoy their subthreads on other fediverse servers and not this one.

[-] fasterandworse@awful.systems 19 points 10 months ago

we should post keyword honey pots every few months for culling

[-] self@awful.systems 16 points 10 months ago

I have been meaning to make a vegan pitbull thread for just such an occasion

[-] self@awful.systems 18 points 10 months ago

to clear up any confusion: if you’re a drive-by poster we’ve never seen before and you’re posting bullshit covid theories instead of anything related to what we discuss on this instance (Sam Altman being a fucker, for example), we can’t tell you apart from someone keyword searching threads to spread conspiracy bullshit en masse and the very funny part is, we don’t actually care how you got here

garbage is garbage, don’t post your trash here

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[-] swlabr@awful.systems 40 points 10 months ago

I would like to not have another synthetic pathogen cause a global pandemic.

Gonna ignore the urge to sneer at the tinfoil hattery here. See the rest of this comment section for that.

I think we can all agree that wasn’t a great experience

Sam, you have a doomsday bunker and a bunch of cash. This was one of your dream scenarios. Don't pretend like you're one of us.

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[-] locallynonlinear@awful.systems 38 points 10 months ago

Takes like this are one of the many things I pull out to point out how naive and misguided most x-risk obsessive people are. And especially Mr. Altman.

Despite wide fears of synthetic gain of function attacks, as it turns out, it's actually really hard to create a new virus meaningfully stronger than the standard endemic ones that already exist. Many countries and labs have legitimately tried. Lots of papers and research. It's, really really hard to beat nature at the microbiological scale; Viruses have to not only be virulent, but it has to contend with extremely unpredictable intermediate environments. The current endemic viruses got there through many mutations and adaptations inside environments that they were already at least successful (and not in vitro). And in the end, what would be the point? Once a virulent virus breaks out, you have very little control. Either it works really well and backfires or, even far more likely, it doesn't do that much at all, but it does piss other nations off.

It's not impossible. But honestly, yeah, I don't comprehend x-riskers who obsess over this.

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[-] tetris11@lemmy.ml 31 points 10 months ago

Wait, I've been out for a bit - what was the actual consensus on Covid? I genuinely thought there was a Wuhan Lab that this all originated from?

I'm not a nut job, I can be reasoned with, i just need to update my beliefs with new info

[-] gerikson@awful.systems 88 points 10 months ago

I believe the scientific consensus is that it originated in a wet market in Wuhan.

The "lab leak theory", while not impossible, is also shorthand for a morass of conspiracy theories grounded in racist attitudes towards China. It somehow conflates that the pandemic is China's fault, if not an outright attack from China, while simultaneously downplaying any efforts to mitigate such an attack.

[-] tetris11@lemmy.ml 22 points 10 months ago

The racist connotations about the lab I knew about, but I didn't think it made it less true.

That being said, I just checked wikipedia:

Most scientists agree that, as with many other pandemics in human history,[1][2][3] the virus is likely derived from a bat-borne virus transmitted to humans via another animal in nature or during wildlife trade such as that in food markets.[11] Many other explanations, including several conspiracy theories, have been proposed.[12][13][14] Some scientists and politicians have speculated that SARS-CoV-2 was accidentally released from a laboratory. This theory is not supported by evidence.[15]

SARS-CoV-2 has close genetic similarity to multiple previously identified bat coronaviruses, suggesting it crossed over into humans from bats

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Origin_of_COVID-19

and I think I remember seeing a study that showed the similarity of the sequence to other known sequences and it wasn't that dramatic a change.

[-] self@awful.systems 12 points 10 months ago

The racist connotations about the lab I knew about, but I didn’t think it made it less true.

this is an absolute fuck of a sentence and seeing as how you keep JAQing off in a way that platforms conspiracy bullshit, you can just fuck off too

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[-] Nihilistra@lemmy.world 10 points 10 months ago

But would the world Powers have said something if it was an escaped virus out of the Chinese Lab in Wuhan?

I don't think it's a coincidence that the wet market is 20 mins from a lab working on bats and viruses.

You have a global Pandemic, but also a big part of the population wants revenge because the Chinese can't keep their lab viruses contained and killed grandma with covid, quite a spicy meatball there.

[-] blargerer@kbin.social 34 points 10 months ago

Of course the labs location isn't a coincidence. They built the lab that studies corona viruses near a huge natural reserve of bats infected with corona viruses.

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[-] Unaware7013@kbin.social 18 points 10 months ago

but also a big part of the population wants revenge because the Chinese can’t keep their lab viruses contained and killed grandma with covid, quite a spicy meatball there.

A shockingly large portion of the population is dumb and refuses to listen to reality, so it's no surprise they believe in a big bad ruining their 2020s and killing grandma rather than just dumb bad luck with a new virus.

Let's also not forget that we also had a large amount of people who refused to do basic COVID prevention techniques like masking, so I'm betting the venn diagram here is pretty close to a circle...

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[-] emergencyfood@sh.itjust.works 31 points 10 months ago

There is an institute of virology in Wuhan, but it is most likely that Covid-19 spread naturally from bats to humans.

  • Bat coronaviruses are common in the South China - Thailand - Myanmar region, and viruses jump host species all the time.

  • Labs that handle human pathogens are maintained under very high security. The one in Wuhan is BSL4, the highest security rating, and had prior experience handling coronaviruses. Also, the viruses themselves would be marked with radioactive isotopes. Even if they somehow got out of the building, it would be possible to find and quarantine all those exposed to it.

  • If it was released on purpose, then we can narrow the list of suspects down to the countries that can reliably make bioweapons and antidotes with close to 100% certainty. That's the US, China and maybe Russia. The US and Russia were among the worst affected, and China wouldn't have released the virus in China.

So the most likely explanation is that it is a bat virus that jumped hosts.

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[-] Soyweiser@awful.systems 22 points 10 months ago

In come the posters who never posted here before to explain that the leak theory is true!

While I have no real input re the whole lab leak conspiracy theory, I do have a fun anacdote from then. I remember pretty quickly after the lab leak option was dropped somebody came with proof for it saying 'we have the telephone data, and the day virus started all the telephones from the lab stayed in one place clearly manipulated!'. This story has a few holes, note first the whole 'we have the telephone data' which is already weird (esp as china refused to cooperate), then also we don't have just one day, perhaps this behavior of phones in a lab is normal. Almost like people are forced to put their personal phones in storage when they suit up (iirc often standard practice in those kinds of rooms). Of course the person bringing up the phones theory didn't think about this. I knew we were in for a wild ride of conspiracies after that one, as it was 'throw stuff at the wall and see what sticks' contrarian theories land. (a thing you often see after a tragedy happens, extremely common in far right circles when the far right does an atrocity, where it is often sort of ingroup signal and signal of cruelty). Anyway, that is just an interesting thing I remembered which I wanted to share, on the subject at hand my opinion is I doubt it was a lab leak, but I also don't think we will ever know for sure, and also we will never find enough evidence that it wasn't a lab leak to convince the people who convinced themselves it was one.

[-] Blapoo@lemmy.ml 10 points 10 months ago

I'm on your page at least - best evidence we had was that it leaked from a Wuhan lab.

Not sure what the conspiracy here is, other than "Rich man has thoughts that come close to an opinion on vaccines. Get the pitchforks!"

Missing the forest for the trees, it feels like - The man has a good point about synthetic viruses.

[-] tetris11@lemmy.ml 26 points 10 months ago

Check my comment above. More scientists believe it was due to a random mutation (the similarity of the sequence to other bat coronaviruses was extremely similar, and this one was a small change that just happened to be potent), though there are also many scientists who find the wuhan lab more than circumstantial.

[-] froztbyte@awful.systems 18 points 10 months ago
[-] Virkkunen@kbin.social 13 points 10 months ago

They're lemmy.ml users, best course of action is to just ignore and move on.

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[-] 200fifty@awful.systems 17 points 10 months ago

why are the comments on this post such a disaster. who are these people

[-] dgerard@awful.systems 11 points 10 months ago

keyword seeking fuckwits maybe

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[-] dgerard@awful.systems 14 points 10 months ago

yor mums a lab leek

[-] dipshit@lemmy.world 13 points 10 months ago

you mean the ceo ______ is an idiot?

[-] NounsAndWords@lemmy.world 11 points 10 months ago

This sounds like a bad take, but for good reasons. I would like the people making AI to take really, really seriously the potential of synthetic viruses. It sounds like he's doing that (rather than working backwards from racism).

[-] Soyweiser@awful.systems 17 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

As often is the case here on awful systems, both sides are bad. Matt Ridley is a climate change denying shouty british aristocrat person all mad that greenpeace is not admitting there is a possibility windmills might be affecting whales (71 dead ones in the uk last year, no idea about the average of dead wales) (iirc according to research it isn't the windmills it is the increased and intensified ship traffic), if you were wondering why the article is written so badly that it seems like it is written by a dark side sneerclub commenter (aka a focus more on funny sneers than making an solid case, which is fine for this silly site, but he is pretending to be a science reporter).

(Taking the risks of viruses (whatever their origin) is good of course, just deciding that covid is synthetic is sneerworthy, as is only focusing on synthetic viruses because handwave AGI intelligence is magic).

Also note that Matt wrote a book arguing that covid came from a lab, so this article is also just book promotion. (he is also of course, a libertarian).

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[-] self@awful.systems 13 points 10 months ago

shut the fuck up

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this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2023
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