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submitted 2 months ago by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

He’s had yet another horrible week. The old tricks aren’t working. Kamala Harris does not fear him. And it’s showing in the numbers.

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[-] Dagwood222@lemm.ee 384 points 2 months ago

I have to admit when I'm wrong.

I was all for Joe staying in the race, because I didn't think the Dems would coalesce around one candidate without a shit-show convention.

Now I'm glad I was wrong. Just putting it out there.

[-] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 192 points 2 months ago

100% the same

Dude I've never been so happy to be wrong as fuck

[-] TexasDrunk@lemmy.world 57 points 2 months ago

You know what the cool thing is? Those of us who were wrong for one reason or another will actually about it. We don't pretend we were right the whole time. We don't pretend it just didn't happen.

Hindsight being what it is, I'm almost wondering if the timing was planned in advance. Biden already told us he'd be a one term president. If in 10 years they came out and said "Yeah, that was the plan from day one but we couldn't tell anyone" I would absolutely believe it.

[-] Reyali@lemm.ee 16 points 2 months ago

I threw an idea out in response to a comment here right after Biden backed out and the more I think about, the more it seems likely to be right.

My theory is that the DNC likely timed Biden stepping aside so it would be late enough they couldn’t hold primaries for the nominee. It came out in 2016 that the DNC was basically rigged for Clinton to win, regardless of what voters wanted. The 2016 primaries caused dissension with voters leading to lower turnout, and I think that was also somewhat true in 2020. By waiting as long as he did to back out, Biden took voter choice out of it and helped rally everyone behind Harris.

I could absolutely be wrong, but every time I run it through my head it feels more likely to be true. And if I’m right, it is a bit sleazy. However, I have to admit I’m surprised and impressed by how it’s turned out. I didn’t expect people to rally so strongly behind Kamala, and I’m excited to be a part of it!

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[-] Zetta@mander.xyz 36 points 2 months ago

I'm glad everyone feels this way, I do too. I thought with Joe we had pretty solid chances of winning, but now with Kamala I think we're going to win by a lot more than Joe won by last time around.

[-] jumjummy@lemmy.world 34 points 2 months ago

Same here. What a pleasant surprise this whole turnaround has been. I was certainly pesimistic that the Democrats would somehow make the situation even worse, like perhaps bring Clinton back.

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[-] Coelacanth@feddit.nu 34 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Hey now, we're only halfway there. Between Biden, Hillary and likely protesters for Palestine it can still be a shit-show convention.

Though fiercely hope not.

[-] Dagwood222@lemm.ee 41 points 2 months ago

I love how Trump's treatment of the Kurds gets a free pass from those protesters.

[-] Mikelius@lemmy.world 15 points 2 months ago
[-] irreticent@lemmy.world 26 points 2 months ago

For those who hate clickbait:

  • Trump breaks silence on Israel's military campaign in Gaza: 'Finish the problem'

"The former president has largely avoided weighing in on Gaza as President Joe Biden has faced criticism from within the Democratic coalition over his support for Israel."

[-] prole 11 points 2 months ago

I would bet my next paycheck that most of them probably could not even explain what he did to the Kurds.

Most of them didn't know (or knew and did not care) about what Israel has been doing to Palestine for decades now, and were told that this is somehow Joe Biden's fault or some shit.

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[-] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 22 points 2 months ago

Don't forget boogaloo fellas and local cops who have been taken in by some kind of propaganda and left-wing useful idiots who got all spun up on internet nonsense to think that the best way to help the Palestinians is to make sure Trump gets elected. I hope not, but the convention has the potential to be a fuckin atom bomb of colliding toxic forces.

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[-] circuitfarmer@lemmy.sdf.org 20 points 2 months ago

I got plenty of flak for suggesting Joe needed to go. The thing is, Kamala isn't a perfect candidate either but holy hell the (perceived) difference in voter attitudes is absolutely palpable. With Joe we'd have had people voting Trump just to avoid falling asleep (not supporting that at all, but the average voter operates on extremely simple heuristics).

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[-] jj4211@lemmy.world 191 points 2 months ago

Just to remind everyone in 2016 people had pretty much already planned their Clinton victory parties and everyone "knew" that Trump was going to lose, the polling was so clear and Trump was such a joke. Perhaps some even took care of "more important" stuff than voting because it was so sure.

So keep your excitement to take you to the voting booths rather than letting it make you complacent.

[-] Osito@lemmy.world 34 points 2 months ago

Yea while Kamala is ahead in the polls , a frighteningly large amount of people still support 45

[-] PM_Your_Nudes_Please@lemmy.world 26 points 2 months ago

Even then, the error % on polls is high enough that Trump could be ahead instead.

Polls post their calculated error %. If they could be off by like 5% in either direction, then that’s what they say. And if the poll shows Trump losing by 2%, with a 5% error, that means Trump could win by 3%.

Every single reputable poll that has been published shows a Trump victory within the margin of error.

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[-] jhymesba@lemmy.world 29 points 2 months ago

Thanks for saying this. It's Mid-August. There are two whole months in which things can go wildly off the rails. Rather than celebrating polls in mid-August, let's take this happy energy and make plans to go to the only poll that matters -- the actual election -- and make these mid-August hopes turn into January certainty. Plan the celebrations after we win in November, to coincide with Harris taking the Oath in January.

[-] DJDarren@thelemmy.club 25 points 2 months ago

There are two whole months in which things can go wildly off the rails.

It’s astonishing how long the US election cycle is. There’s longer until the next US election than the entire campaign here in the UK, yet it’s all I’ve heard about for the past three years.

Can you guys not just chill the fuck out?

[-] makatwork@lemmy.world 15 points 2 months ago

I wish. Our politics are so exhausting.

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[-] zarkanian@sh.itjust.works 15 points 2 months ago

The polls only look good because they're so much better than they were for Biden. It's still a toss-up, because those percentages are within the margin of error of the polls. (At least, for most of the swing states.)

[-] Landless2029@lemmy.world 13 points 2 months ago

And make sure you tell everyone else to get out and vote.

Offer carpools to take people to vote if you can. We need numbers at the booths. Especially if you're in a swing state or red.

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[-] RangerJosie@sffa.community 109 points 2 months ago
[-] Atelopus-zeteki@fedia.io 69 points 2 months ago

We're draining his power, and we cannot stop. There can be no question that this referendum on him and the culture he fosters is wrong and cannot/ will not be tolerated any longer.

[-] RedWeasel@lemmy.world 85 points 2 months ago

Trump: “she doesn’t like Jewish people. You know it, I know it, and everybody knows it, and nobody wants to say it.”

Yeah, probably because she loves them, and everyone else as well.

[-] 5C5C5C@programming.dev 108 points 2 months ago

If she loves Jewish people so much then why doesn't she marry 'em?? 🤪

Oh wait...

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[-] DogPeePoo@lemm.ee 46 points 2 months ago

Her husband Doug is Jewish.

Dotard Don 🤦🏽🤦‍♀️🤦🏻‍♂️

[-] 5C5C5C@programming.dev 46 points 2 months ago

I think Trump is accustomed to thinking his spouses are lesser beings that exist only to bolster his image and serve at his pleasure, and he probably harbors deep feelings of disdain for all of them that he can't express publicly.

So for him it totally tracks to be married to a type of person that you hate.

[-] growsomethinggood@reddthat.com 33 points 2 months ago

So for him it totally tracks to be married to a type of person that you hate.

Women, for example

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[-] LEDZeppelin@lemmy.world 24 points 2 months ago

Hey Donnie, you remember those “fine people on both sides” in Charlottesville? What were they chanting exactly?

Fucking asshole

[-] prime 70 points 2 months ago

As much as I'd like to celebrate, I can only think about how the attitude was the same regarding Hillary, and we all saw how that turned out. Fingers crossed.

[-] CaptnNMorgan@reddthat.com 22 points 2 months ago

People hated Hillary though. I know everyone who liked her wanted to say it was sexism but the Clinton's are fucking crooks. I don't like that Kamala put a bunch of people in prison for weed but there isn't any evidence that she killed people for political gain.

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[-] Rapidcreek@lemmy.world 57 points 2 months ago

It's all in the clock

80 days until election day

70 days until early voting starts in Michigan

66 days until early voting starts in Wisconsin

61 days until early voting starts in North Carolina

45 days until the vice-presidential debate

30 days until early ballot drop off starts in Pennsylvania

24 days until the first presidential debate

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[-] pyre@lemmy.world 56 points 2 months ago

has no idea what has hit him

well it ain't a bullet that's for sure

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 29 points 2 months ago

Six days ago, The New York Times ran a story under the headline “Inside the Worst Three Weeks of Donald Trump’s 2024 Campaign.”

You know things are bad when the worst three weeks are after an attempted assassination.

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[-] ThatOneKrazyKaptain@lemmy.world 45 points 2 months ago

Before anyone starts getting a bit too high off their own supply Harris's polling averages peaked on August 12th. They were stagnant or declining on the 13th and 14th, briefly spiked on the 15th, and that spike was completely undone on the 16th. Today is dropping again. Not big drops, like 1/10th of a point every other day(which day depends on which conglomerates you use), but the growth trend is over.

[-] Sarothazrom@lemmy.world 36 points 2 months ago

Agreeing that it is wise to not grow overconfident.

We still are far from winning this battle.

[-] ThatOneKrazyKaptain@lemmy.world 12 points 2 months ago

Canadian, not my fight. Our liberals ain't doing so good

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[-] Lucidlethargy@sh.itjust.works 40 points 2 months ago

Is there a greater douchebag in this world than Donald Trump? What an idiot.

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[-] homesweethomeMrL@lemmy.world 32 points 2 months ago

“Mock the devil and he will run from you”

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[-] Unlocalhost@lemmy.world 31 points 2 months ago

Watch out, this may mean he's going to take the low road a cheat. Regardless VOTE!!!

[-] grue@lemmy.world 33 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Of fucking course Trump is going to cheat! In fact, his MAGA flying monkeys are cheating now, as we speak. The Trump campaign is recruiting literally 100,000 poll "observers" (read: saboteurs) to help it cheat. "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement’s coup attempt on Jan. 6 never stopped."

The Trump campaign's main strategy for 2024 isn't to actually win votes. It's to deliberately interfere with the counting of the votes and cast so much FUD on the process that as many states as possible either won't (because they're MAGA-controlled) or can't (because there was genuinely that much disruption) certify their votes. In other words, he wants to file dozens of lawsuits challenging the results again, but manufacture valid bases for them this time. Combine that with the chaos of more Jan 6-style violence, and it's very likely he will succeed in getting a decisive number of swing states decided by the Supreme Court a la Bush v. Gore -- and not only does the Supreme Court have a MAGA majority, three of the fucking "justices" were lawyers on Bush's side in that very court case!

This is why Trump is going around telling his supporters that they won't have to vote anymore after this election, and why he doubled down on it when given the chance to walk it back. He has every intention of so thoroughly destroying Americans' trust in Federal elections that four years from now he will simply make a dictatorial decree that it is pointless to have them and he will simply remain in power indefinitely.

Trump is 100% committed to seizing power and being coronated as America's king, votes be damned.

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[-] beefbot 18 points 2 months ago

VOTE!! and also there is NO QUESTION his fart sniffing followers will CHEAT FOR HIM — let’s all get this through our heads NOW

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[-] rickdg@lemmy.world 20 points 2 months ago

Best part is watching him eventually get convicted. Tic tac, orange man.

[-] expatriado@lemmy.world 12 points 2 months ago

i think you mean sentenced

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[-] Snapz@lemmy.world 16 points 2 months ago

"Prices... YOU'VE BEEN BAD! Folgers! Rocky road! BABY RUTH!!!

[-] Mr_Dr_Oink@lemmy.world 14 points 2 months ago

Because kamala harris is playing checkers whilst donald trump is playing tic-tac-toe.

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this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2024
707 points (100.0% liked)

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