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Wow what an analysis. This event could have repercussions! They could be different depending on who views them and what their beliefs are!
"I have no idea what's actually going on because there is no recent precedent for this, but I still need to file 15 column inches anyway or I don't get paid."
Undecided voters are largely a myth. When it comes to Donald Trump there is no one who hasn't decided what they think of him, all the people who would be dumb enough to be undecided this late in the game are already Trump supporters
If "undecided" means, "I'm going to vote, but I could vote for either Trump or [Democratic candidate]," you're completely right. Those two sides of this election are so completely different that it's comical to imagine someone who is a committed voter who still hasn't made up their mind.
When "undecided" means "I haven't decided whether I will vote at all," that's still definitely a thing. Based on Harris' recent appearances, she's going to motivate a lot more people to vote for her than against her. I have a really hard time thinking that someone who wasn't already committed to voting for Trump would only now be moved to vote for him because of Harris.
It's primarily this. Also people who hate both Trump and Biden (now Harris). They might say they are are "undecided" about casting a vote for an alternate candidate as a form of protest.
Yea, the sad American truth is that there are misogynists and racists everywhere.
Everywhere in the Republican party for sure
Biden led by 57 points with Black voters, while Harris held a 64-point advantage in the NBC News poll. Among dissatisfied Republicans, Trump’s lead went from 46 points against Biden to 47 points against Harris.
It’s hard to believe there are people who would vote for a rapist president and against a woman president, but could not be bothered to vote for a rapist president and against a woman vice president. It’s a weird line to draw.
Then again, these people are not exactly known for being reasonable.
Great disadvantage about catering very specifically to a rabid minority fanbase: while you're not going to lose supporters very easily, you're probably not going to make very big gains either, no matter what happens. Any improvements the democrats make to eat up those middle ground voters could be devistating
46 to 47 is basically a wash. 46 was basically Joe's Ceiling; he is a known quantity. Harris has head room for no other reason than most people know barely anything about her so there is an opportunity to grow her standing.
this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2024
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