While Michael's assertion of a 50% chance of winning the race seems logical from his subjective viewpoint of "winning or not winning", it's mathematically incorrect. In a race with five equally skilled runners, the probability of any one runner winning is 1/5, or 20%. Michael's simplification of the outcomes doesn't correctly calculate the probability and indicates a possible misunderstanding of how to calculate odds.

Yes, this was made with ChatGPT. No, I'm not fun at parties.

This is an old running meme in the hearthstone community. No matter the question, 50/50 it either happens or it doesn't

This is a huge meme in the old school RuneScape community. Some important drops are as rare as 1/5000 but people always say “you either get the drop or you don’t”

Either wins or it doesnt are the two possible outcomes, their chances of happenning being 50% or different is a separate matter.

The answer is that we can't know because each of those can have different skill levels. However, given that this seems to be a question t prove knowledge about odds of 1 in 5, let's assume that they are all equally skilled, then it's 1/5 = 20%.

No, this wasn't made with ChatGPT. I don't go to parties.