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this post was submitted on 24 May 2026
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TechTakes
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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So in AI'27 they predicted 2030 will have "1T Wildly Superintelligent copies thinking at 10000x human speed", "wildly superhuman" coding ability, and "brain uploading", with "biosphere destroying mirror life" on the horizon.
Now they are predicting "maybe it will be able to write C++ in 2030 without constantly falling over (50% probability)".
Seems like a bit of a step back, but I guess we'll see what they put in their fun interactive website once it's ready.
Their fun interactive website does exist and the probability of automated coding at the end of the year doesn’t even get to 50% (and its their p10, meaning 90% of simulations of this model beat it out)