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this post was submitted on 13 May 2026
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At 30k per month, it's around 200k by the end of the year So around 1.5-1.6 million casualties by December.
That's also when it hits around 1% of the Russian population is a casualty of this war. Combined with a below replacement birthrate and Russian population is experiencing negative population growth.
Also 650,000-1,300,000 Russians have left Russia, since the full scale invasion started. Add to that fewer migrants moving to Russia and you have another massive issue for the country.
The other big potential one, is that most quote the Russian statistics on them. However those include parts of Ukraine. The population of Russia would shrink by millions, if those go back to Ukraine.