A friend at a former workplace was in a discussion with that company leadership earlier this week to understand how and what metrics are to be used for promotion candidates since the office is directed to use “AI” tools for coding. Simply put: lots of entry and lower level engineers submit PRs that are co-authored by Claude so it is difficult to measure their actual software development skills to determine if they should get promoted.
That leadership had no real answers just lots of abstract garbage (vibes essentially) and followed up with telling all the entry levels to reduce the code they write and use the purchased agentic tool.
Along with this a buddy at a very famous prop shop says the firm decided to freeze all junior hiring and is leaning into only hiring senior+ and replacing juniors with AI. He asked what will happen when the current seniors leave/retire and got hit with shock that would even be considered.
My vibes based thoughts on Quantum bubble: it’s been tried before and never stuck. It’s too science-y for the common folk to buy-in. AI sold fear, crypto sold “ownership” and “banking freedom” and of course “FOMO to invest early like imagine buying Apple when it was a $1!”, and dotcom sold anything computer.
But now everyone has computer, crypto questions never answered so it remains in a small capacity still on the “ya but what if”, and AI isn’t able to actually replace anyone after trillions of dollars poured in so it’s going the way of crypto (will still be around but not in our faces at every turn).
Quantum just never had and never will have those pulls. Like I remember the attempt to sell fear a decade or more ago when everyone was like “passwords and encryption become meaningless!” But it was still all hypothetical. Being hardware is a huge part of the fizzle. Software you can make pretty interface and spin up a PoC that doesn’t do anything but you can have someone use the prototype to get the “omggghg it’s real” feeling. Without hardware being accessible it just looks like nerds in lab coats and no one cares.