Old trick, don't fall for it. Go out and vote, never assume victory on your side or trust people from the other side telling you you won.
They want people to not vote because it is: "in the bag"
If they say Trump's winning, it's a trick to make Democrats think it's lost and stay home. If they say Trump's losing, it's a trick to make Democrats think they've won and stay home.
Maybe sometimes people just want to share opinions about what's going on. We should vote regardless, but not everything is a trick.
Honestly you might be right, but at this point I am not sure if what I feel is news induced paranoia or realistic worry. Regardless, go vote indeed.
The data shows this race is 50-50. Don't listen to opinions or even single poll results.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
We need to do more than just vote, we need to volunteer, donate, and encourage friends and family to go vote for Harris
If we were talking Fox News then that heuristic is probably pretty close to reality
It ain't over until the election is over. Let's not get complacent
This race is exactly tied 50-50
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
You need to do everything you can to help Harris win! Donate and volunteer! Go do a web search how to do it right now! I mean RIGHT now! Go!
Nate Silver is a hack, but agree with everything else you said.
Why do you say that? The consensus seems to be that he is one of the best at what he does.
One reason is that he has demonstrated over the past 8 years that he's not really better at forecasting than others. But the main reason I say that is he's shown his ass on social media time and time again. I don't have specifics so can't really defend my accusation.
The polls are literally irrelevant -- and I don't mean just in the usual way that they can have bias or vary compared to what the actual vote ends up being.
What I mean is that the polls are irrelevant because Trump isn't even trying to win votes in the first place, but instead has every intention of massively cheating and stealing the presidency.
So yeah: first of all, it's imperative to disregard the polls and vote anyway because we can't just squeak by, but instead need massive landslide victories in states like GA and AZ to overwhelm all the fraud (throwing out valid votes and refusing to certify) the MAGA election officials will be perpetrating. And then second, we have to go beyond just voting and be prepared to hold massive protests to make it clear to both election officials and judges handling Trump's inevitable flood of election-denier lawsuits that professional misconduct will not be tolerated.
Nothing over until January 7th.
Register to vote. Vote. Use your time and energy to get others to do the same. Hold the line until the election is certified.
Nobody should believe Frank Luntz about anything.
Fake News!
-Republicans who do their Own Research!
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https://www.thedailybeast.com/longtime-gop-pollster-frank-luntz-says-trumps-campaign-is-over-after-bad-debate?ref=home?ref=home
“Ethically and follicly challenged” Frank Luntz
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