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submitted 2 months ago by breakfastmtn@lemmy.ca to c/world@lemmy.world

Russia will make changes to its doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons in response to what it regards as Western escalation in the war in Ukraine, state media quoted Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying on Sunday.

The existing nuclear doctrine, set out in a decree by President Vladimir Putin in 2020, says Russia may use nuclear weapons in the event of a nuclear attack by an enemy or a conventional attack that threatens the existence of the state.

Some hawks among Russia's military analysts have urged Putin to lower the threshold for nuclear use in order to "sober up" Russia's enemies in the West.

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[-] Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world 108 points 2 months ago
[-] SassyRamen@lemmy.world 30 points 2 months ago

Hey look, it's the Russian State media. I love this picture

[-] Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world 101 points 2 months ago

The SECOND Russia uses nukes, it's OVER. Russia's entire existence ceases to exist, as EVERY country will nuke Russia. It won't be WWIII.

WWIII would imply two set of countries of roughly equal might, and each side has several countries fighting together.

This would be more like EVERYBODY vs Russia. And they wouldn't last more than a few days.

[-] Sundial@lemm.ee 69 points 2 months ago

The problem is Russia has the very real capability of really screwing up a good chunk of the world before they get wiped off the map. It's kind of scary if im being honest.

[-] andyburke@fedia.io 56 points 2 months ago

I would have believed you a few years ago.

At this point I think Putin has to have serious doubts that he could use a nuke and have it actually work. He's up against both western tech and his own corruption.

[-] Cosmonauticus@lemmy.world 13 points 2 months ago

Yeah the problem is he only needs one to work. Even if it's a dud Russia being nuked into oblivion will have long term ramifications for the entire globe

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[-] cynar@lemmy.world 20 points 2 months ago

Nukes and ICBMs are extremely complex devices. They also require extremely specialist servi e work to remain functional. Even worse, the only people who can actually check that work are the ones doing it.

Russia hasn't detonated a nuke in decades. I wouldn't be surprised if most of their arsenal are now duds. The money embezzled, while boxes were ticked. Similarly, I wouldn't be surprised if many of their ICBMs just wouldn't launch.

Russia's nuclear capabilities are likely a paper tiger, and Putin likely knows this. Until they try and use them, they are scary. If they try and they fail, they are in a VERY bad situation.

Putin is many things, but he's not stupid. It would take a LOT more pressure from nato for him to even consider using nukes.

It's kind of funny to me that a significant reason Russia is in its current predicament is because of rampant corruption. Putin runs the country like a Mafia state and then gets all surprised Pikachu Face when it becomes apparent that his underlings just stole all the money instead of using it to maintain their weapons stockpile, which is now aging and dilapidated.

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[-] InverseParallax@lemmy.world 8 points 2 months ago

Uhh, maybe 2 decades ago, they sold all those weapons on Wish.com, where do you think all those super-yachts came from?

[-] riodoro1@lemmy.world 48 points 2 months ago

Nato will write a sternly worded letter. Biden will SLAM putin for it. The EU will try to pass chat control.

[-] whostosay@lemmy.world 15 points 2 months ago

I don't think that everyone is ready to cry right after reading this comment. Pls delete

[-] rusticus@lemm.ee 14 points 2 months ago

Ironically Biden was the one who knew Russia would attack Ukraine and spent MONTHS preparing Ukraine for it, which is why it wasn’t over in 3 days. We have also prepped for nuclear escalation. This is what real leaders do. Trump would just continue to give Putin a blow job.

[-] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 39 points 2 months ago

I think even China and India would sever any remaining ties to russia if russia uses a nuke.

[-] empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com 37 points 2 months ago

They would, as Russia is only a useful idiot and a link to natural resources for both of those countries.

[-] orclev@lemmy.world 19 points 2 months ago

China would just wait until it's over and then pick through the remains of Russia. Probably try to claim a big chunk of southern Russia using some excuse or another.

[-] Notyou@sopuli.xyz 10 points 2 months ago

Well it's not ~~southern Russia's~~ northern China's fault that some mad man in Moscow used a nuke. China will just be generous and help lead the clean up in wonderful north north China.

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[-] kent_eh@lemmy.ca 21 points 2 months ago

If Russia uses their nukes, about 30 minuites later there won't be a Russia left to sever ties with.

[-] maniel@sopuli.xyz 21 points 2 months ago

it would be over for everyone

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[-] lepinkainen@lemmy.world 10 points 2 months ago

We don’t need to nuke them even, we can just use conventional munitions to fuck up every military installation they have to rubble.

And chuck a few Tomahawks at Kremlin to be sure

[-] HomerianSymphony@lemmy.world 9 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

This would be more like EVERYBODY vs Russia.

I do not share your confidence about that.

Countries with nuclear weapons include China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and possibly Iran. And while I don't think any of them want a nuclear war, if a nuclear war breaks out, I can imagine three or four of them siding with Russia.

China might side with Russia simply because they're sick of the US trying to hem them in militarily through the "island chain" strategy. The US has the entire coast of China surrounded by military bases, which could be used to cut off China's trade routes, which is an existential threat to China because their economy is so dependent on exports.

North Korea has a historical beef with the US, and Russia helped North Korea survive through a period when the US tried to starve them.

India and Pakistan have a long-running dispute over Kashmir, and if India backs the US, it's possibly Pakistan will back Russia just to oppose India.

And Russia and Iran have been solid military and economic allies for a while now, working together in recent conflicts in Syria and Iraq.

[-] whostosay@lemmy.world 10 points 2 months ago

If their intelligence agencies are worth anything, they would understand that any action unless directly against Russia would be suicide not only for them but also us. Nukes are a losing strategy no matter what.

[-] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 7 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

The US has the entire coast of China surrounded by military bases, which could be used to cut of China's trade routes, which is an existential threat to China because their economy is so dependent on exports.

What is it with you people?!?!

"it's not fair that the US DARES to talk to other countries anywhere near us!?!?"

This is the exact same excuse putin used for invading Ukraine, because no country is allowed to make their own decisions on who they talk to unless Russia and China get a veto.

We have power they cannot begin to comprehend, they need to learn a lesson from Putin, "Don't start nothin, won't be nothin", because if there's one thing the US is famous for, it's ending wars definitively.

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[-] BaroqueInMind@lemmy.one 8 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Unless the nuclear fallout is proven to effect a NATO ally and trigger Article 5, no one would give a shit if Russia nuked itself on its own territory. And no one other than the US can afford to unleash all of their their nuclear arsenal, costing billions of dollars and their only defense deterrence, in one go to light the powder keg and be left without nukes to defend themselves.

However, you are correct, Russia would cease to exist if they retaliated disproportionately and a single molecule of NATO territory was effected as a result.

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[-] PugJesus@lemmy.world 76 points 2 months ago
[-] kent_eh@lemmy.ca 30 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

The sound of rusty sabres being rattled.

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[-] Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world 7 points 2 months ago
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[-] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 67 points 2 months ago

Putin, you can't invade another country killing thousands of their civilians and then get upset when that country comes into yours and starts taking your territory. Using a nuke here doesn't make you look strong, it makes you look extremely weak.

[-] socsa@piefed.social 8 points 2 months ago

Tankies: is this western imperialism?

[-] jlh@lemmy.jlh.name 47 points 2 months ago

No they won't. If Putin isn't a complete idiot, he knows that using nukes will be the end of Russia.

https://youtu.be/v4mZPc_kkys

[-] InvertedParallax@lemm.ee 25 points 2 months ago

It's worse than that. Russia knows they can never use nukes preemptively, it's why they have their policy.

Russia is one of the most centralized countries in the world, everything revolves around Moscow, all political and economic power, all administration, without Moscow they know Russia is dead.

The whole point of a nuke is that it eats cities, their paranoia that Moscow would be hit during the cold War was extreme, they put incredible amounts of money into air and missile defenses and demanded carve outs to the abm treaties specifically for Moscow.

Because Russia isn't a country, it's an empire ruled from Moscow, and it Moscow was destroyed it would instantly cease to be a country.

Basically, if things reached a point where Moscow's control over the rest of Russia was at risk, that's when you'd see them start to negotiate.

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[-] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 35 points 2 months ago

In Putin's eyes:

Putin = Russia.

So, "threatens the existence of the state" means "I might personally lose power over this".

It wasn't that long ago troops marched towards Putin, and while he meant to teach the lesson "go against me and die" what he really taught everyone was "next time don't negotiate and don't believe anything I say".

All it takes is letting some fall guy with a personal grudge against Putin get close to him with a gun.

Everyone gets to pretend that they didn't want him dead, and the fall guy gets killed immediately after but got to settle his score first.

Without Putin the focus goes back on making money, and Russia stops invading people and threatening nuclear Armageddon.

The people around him are definitely considering if he's worth more as a myth than a man at this point.

[-] lepinkainen@lemmy.world 15 points 2 months ago

Putin has no endgame.

There is no timeline where he can step down and live peacefully.

His one in a million is to conquer enough of Ukraine and somehow be allowed to keep it - but that’s not happening unless Donald wins the election.

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[-] random_character_a@lemmy.world 12 points 2 months ago

True. Dictators like Putin don't usually retire, alive at least and the end is not usually pretty, so he hangs on, and on.

[-] socsa@piefed.social 19 points 2 months ago

Russia: nuclear terrorism is all we have left.

Millennials: don't threaten us with a good time.

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[-] Passerby6497@lemmy.world 18 points 2 months ago

Russia: We're updating the conditions required for the West to glass us when we get too big for our britches

What the fuck Russia?? How hard are you planning on rattling that sabre?

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[-] portuga@lemmy.world 14 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Why do these guys allways look like their family is being held hostage or something?

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[-] HubertManne@moist.catsweat.com 14 points 2 months ago

lol. russia goes on drunken invasion spree of their neighbors and feel they have to sober up their neighbors.

[-] SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world 12 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

If their nuclear bombers went airborne the second Ukraine troops crossed their borders people would've taken them seriously. It would've shown how serious they were. But here we are, weeks after the invasion onto Russian soil, and their strong man argument is changing a few words on paper. It's not very impressive or convincing.

[-] MonkderVierte@lemmy.ml 12 points 2 months ago
[-] JohnDClay@sh.itjust.works 11 points 2 months ago

I guess they're relaxing the policy, since they've hinted previously that they viewed attacks on Russian territory to be a threat to the existence of Russia and would use nukes in response. But they didn't.

[-] ravhall@discuss.online 11 points 2 months ago

Oh come on Putin, no one is gonna use nukes… don’t be a bitch.

[-] MushuChupacabra@lemmy.world 11 points 2 months ago

Bark bark bark

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 7 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Russia will make changes to its doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons in response to what it regards as Western escalation in the war in Ukraine, state media quoted Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying on Sunday.

Oooh.... Someone's realized that a substantially smaller country with Jewish Nazis in the government is way more competent when it comes to specialized military operations?

This is more a sign of desperation than a sign of either strategic military confidence or a booming economy.

Moscow accuses the West of using Ukraine as a proxy to wage war against it, with the aim of inflicting a "strategic defeat" on Russia and breaking it apart.

Dude, you're making yourself more important than you actually are. No one cares about you.

Edit: if you're quoting something, it's kind of expected that you copy the correct quite... duh...

[-] mozz@mbin.grits.dev 7 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Dude, you're making yourself more important than you actually are. No one cares about you.

Seriously. The West keeps legit forgetting the whole thing is even going on, and then waking up and sending $50 billion and then getting distracted again.

The bravery of the Ukrainians and the 20:1 outmatchedness of the Russians in total industrial/technological capacity are responsible for the failure of the invasion. Not any kind of urgent priority or strong level of care on the Western side in any location west of Poland.

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this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2024
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