538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.
Polls are shit, have a plan and get out and vote.
538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.
No they didn't. They had Hillary with something like a 60% chance of winning. That's not "had Hillary beating Trump" that's "Hillary was more likely to win than Trump."
Sure, Jan
You know how the internet works, right?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Don’t miss the forest for the trees. The point being— polls are shit 💩
You know how probability works right? No, of course you don't. Almost nobody does...
Some of us play XCOM, 95% chance to hit might as well be 0% when you need 100%, usually means it's time for a grenade.
Hah! Excellent example. 😆
I dont have proof, but I believe it was a hell of a lot higher than 60％
It was. IIRC, it got up to almost 90% in mid October. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
It wasn't 100%. It's a forecast not a premonition.
The very idea that 50% of any uncontrived sample of people in the USA would vote for that compulsively lying wannabe dick-tater is appalling.
REPLACE HARRIS. We can beat him with someone better
The Democratic Pary prefers the worst possible candidate they can get away with. Someone just marginally better than the Republican option.
Super excited for another repeat of 2016.