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submitted 4 months ago by jeffw@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world
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[-] meowMix2525@lemm.ee 1 points 4 months ago

Look at the 2020 candidates, I'm sure a good number of them would run a campaign if Biden stepped down. The democratic establishment just needs to put their weight behind a candidate that people are willing to vote for like they did with Biden.

[-] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

The democratic establishment just needs to put their weight behind a candidate that people are willing to vote for

Which would be who?

Also, that just is doing a lot of heavy lifting in this sentence, as if it were that simple.

[-] meowMix2525@lemm.ee 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

Buttigieg. Whitmer. Beshear. Pritzker. Newsome. Fucking Klobuchar or Warren. Literally anyone else that would announce their candidacy as soon as Biden got out of the way. It's the fucking democratic nomination, somebody out there wants it and given the chance to campaign would be able to beat Trump by miles. Half of them are starting at more or less equal odds with Trump even with NO campaigning whatsoever.

I'm not claiming to be clairvoyant but jesus have some imagination, a sense of object permanence. You're not hearing about them because they aren't challenging the incumbent president, not because they don't exist.

Edit: and yes, given a real primary, it is that simple.

[-] NaibofTabr@infosec.pub 2 points 4 months ago

It is not that simple, when we're talking about the national vote. Yes, another candidate could win the primary, but none of them have the kind of national presence to compete with Trump this close to the election. If they had been the candidate 2 years ago, maybe. Switching candidates this late will damage voter confidence, and will result in lower turnout, regardless of who the candidate is.

Imagination has nothing to do with it, this isn't a Disney movie.

[-] meowMix2525@lemm.ee 1 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

That's bullshit. 4 months is an eternity in election year time. Also, like I said, on account of them all clearing the bar of not being Trump, half of them are starting at more or less equal odds with Trump (and Biden) with NO campaigning whatsoever. Aside from that, Biden himself staying in the race is doing everything you're saying about the other candidates, all on his own.

The complication here; for any candidate; is that you have to offer something more than "not trump", campaign on that, and project confidence in defending your ideology and its allies. That is where voter confidence is fostered, not bowing down to some sunk cost fallacy. Biden is unable to perform on this in his current state. That is why his base comes down only to voters who both 1) don't have serious objections against Biden, which are dwindling, and 2) are informed on what trump may be capable of in a second term, of which the effort to increase this demographic is either completely absent or ineffectual.

this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2024
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