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F-16s for Ukraine: When will they arrive and what can they do?
(kyivindependent.com)
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Targeting range really isn't going to matter as it's doubtful the F-16's primary role will be to engage in air to air combat with Russian fighters. It's much better suited to SEAD / DEAD missions and dropping precision munitions on Russian armor and defended positions.
You are probably right, I reviewed an older video by Puk Nielsen, and he states that the number of planes are far from enough to make air dominance possible.