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this post was submitted on 10 Aug 2026
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This is something I'll never understand about the stock market. Revenue falls 14-18%, stock falls 70%.
They're aiming for long term. Lose some revenue now, but ensure it lasts much longer, the "would you rather have 100 now or 1000 in a month?"
Fuck Roblox.
Imagine you have a share in a company. How much would you, personally, sell that share for? Well, it's a function of what it'll pay you in dividends over some time horizon. Maybe you're sure it'll pay about a dollar this year, and it seems likely it'll pay a dollar fifty next year, and you're not really sure after that but probably not nothing. So you want at least $2 for it, but you figure in the most likely case is that it'll continue to pay out and wouldnt sell it for less than $10.
Now, suppose some news comes out that profits are forecast to be half what you thought, so your estimation might come out at $5. Except now you're also worried about two other things: first, the company is now more likely to go under before you can get your $5. And also, before you were quite happy that if things went badly, you actually could sell your share for about $10. But now lots of people are trying to get rid of them at once, so you're worried it won't be possible, so you decide actually you're willing to sell at a lower price.