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Nato leaders agree not to mention World Cup to Donald Trump to avoid irritating him
(www.theguardian.com)
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Working towards 5% isn't really that stupid for most European countries as long as Russia is spending as much money as it can on weapons. It will only become a waste of money after the implosion of the Russian oligarchy. I am not in favor of spending that much money of things that kill stuff, but it makes total sense to continue doing that for now.
No, you need to be able to defend against the United States. They are the biggest world threat right now. The leadership is incompetent, but they have an overwhelming advantage in firepower and are very dangerous.
The US in it's current form is definitely a threat to Europe in many ways, but not a military one. Not even in the case of an armed conflict about Greenland. I could see the leadership ordering to, but I can't see the soldiers on the ground shoot at people they've been training and fighting with their entire career. There will be mass defection on the side of the US if they are ordered to shoot (by then former) nato-allies. Unlike Russian 'soldiers', the fear of torture/execution will not motivate them.
Read up on your military history. That comradery is common at the start of so many past conflicts and they have a playbook.
They will handpick the first few groups of soldiers to go in specifically selected to be comfortable killing unarmed European civilians and soldiers alike. Oops, they commited an atrocity, my bad, I'll throw them in jail. But before that, the other side seeks their revenge and now the regular American soldiers who would have refused to fight a few days ago are getting slammed every nasty which-way and fight back. Both sides learn the other side is pure evil, and never notice the brass pulling the strings.
They will definitely shoot European troops. Maybe there are some that wouldn't, but they would be branded pussies and punished. The vast majority will. They will fire on American citizens.