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this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2025
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I would honestly not be surprised. Invading a collapsing Russia might well be easier, then invading Taiwan and China has claims of the Russian Far East.
Why invade in this day and age when they are already taking through economic vassalage? China isn't dumb. They're playing the long game.
Exactly. Xi must be absolutely laughing himself to sleep every day. He has solved all of China's oil, mineral, grain and fresh water supply problems for the next half century. They have unquestioned top dog influence over the Central Asian republics now, a weaker rival for bribable global anti-western allies, and can demand anything from Russia that can't be refused going forward. Including access to the North Pacific, which China has never, ever had.
All without expending a single soldier or loss of a single piece of hardware.
There are currently billions of frozen assets in the West and also oil and gas pipelines to Europe. With a peace deal, it would be possible to restart the sale of oil and gas and maybe even get the money. Even if they have to give it to Ukraine, that would be less of a problem, as they do not control it anyway. Especially if Putin gets couped, this might well leave Russia as part of the EU sphere of influence, which would give them the option to move soldiers 1000km from Bejing.