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Bag of words, have mercy on us
(www.experimental-history.com)
Hurling ordure at the TREACLES, especially those closely related to LessWrong.
AI-Industrial-Complex grift is fine as long as it sufficiently relates to the AI doom from the TREACLES. (Though TechTakes may be more suitable.)
This is sneer club, not debate club. Unless it's amusing debate.
[Especially don't debate the race scientists, if any sneak in - we ban and delete them as unsuitable for the server.]
See our twin at Reddit
This author has independently rediscovered a slice of what's known as the simulators viewpoint: the opinion that a large-enough language model primarily learns to simulate scenarios. The earliest source that lays out all of the ingredients, which you may want to not click if you're allergic to LW-style writing or bertology, is a 2022 rationalist rant called Simulators. I've summarized it before on Stack Exchange; roughly, LLMs are not agents, oracles, genies, or tools; but general-purpose simulators which simulate conversations that agents, oracles, genies, or tools might have.
Something about this topic is memetically repulsive. Consider previously, on Lobsters. Or more gently, consider the recent post on a non-anthropomorphic view of LLMs, which is also in the simulators viewpoint, discussed previously, on Lobsters and previously, on Awful. Aside from scratching the surface of the math to see whether it works, folks seem to not actually be able to dig into the substance, and I don't understand why not. At least here the author has a partial explanation:
If we take the simulators viewpoint seriously then the ELIZA effect becomes a more serious problem for society in the sense that many people would prefer to experience a simulation of idealized reality than reality itself. Hyperreality is one way to look at this; another is supernormal stimulus, and I've previously explained my System 3 thoughts on this as well.
There's also a section of the Gervais Principle on status illegibility; when a person fails to recognize a chatbot as a computer, they become likely to give them bogus legibility-oriented status, and because the depth of any conversation is limited by the depth of the shallowest conversant, they will put the chatbot on a throne, pedestal, or therapist's recliner above themselves. Symmetrically, perhaps folks do not want to comment because they have already put the chatbot into the lowest tier of social status and do not want to reflect on anything that might shift that value judgement by making its inner reasoning more legible.
Good formulation, but in the spirit of the article I would say "might have had". Being per definition trained on existing material they can produce likely imitations of conversations that already exists. One would suppose the value of a conversation between oracles and geniuses would be to produce something new, on effect text that is more than the statistically likely output.
Good article, thanks for linking it.