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this post was submitted on 24 Mar 2025
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Australian Politics
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I had a look at the 2022 election (yes, 3 year outdated) and in every state and territory except ACT, they had 10-14% in House of Reps and 10-14% in Senate except WA and Tasmania.
This doesn't contradict what you said, I believe there is a notable trend towards the Greens. Although Wikipedia's summary of 2025 election polling suggests around 13-14% (Lib-Nat have taken a dive after Trump's inauguration, with the support split almost equally between Labor, Greens and Other parties)
Do you mean Greens voters? Or the Greens writing their how-to-vote cards? Voters gives their preference, not a party. [edit: I didn't know that preference swapping was only reformed in 2016]
I don't know about Tasmania, but 2022 in WA was an anomaly. That was the year where WA voted in only two Liberal candidates and three National. The voters were very angry at the LNP because they kept telling the nation that our closed borders were not doing anything to protect us from the pandemic and criticising us. Meanwhile, WA rode out 2020-2022 mostly unaffected by Covid.
Politics of that era aside, you can't rely on 2022 data for WA. We have already seen a bit of a correction. The LNP likely have 15 seats, now (they're still counting votes and some of the seats are on a knife-edge).
Good point, thanks for the context. The 2025 state election is probably an solid read on how they might vote federally.
I'm not really sure about that.
Labor had another decisive state government victory last month. However, I don't think federal Labor will enjoy the support it received from Western Australian's last time round.
WA is ultimately a conservative electorate. We will never be as progressive as Victoria and NSW.
You're correct that WA votes last federal election were a response to the covid measures. It really did feel as though the rest of Australia was kind of making fun of us, particularly the federal LNP government we had at that time.
This time round is back to business as usual. Not as decisive as covid, but a strong driver will be the live export sheep thing.
We used to export a lot of live sheep. Labor banned the practice. A lot of farmers lost a whole lot of money as sheep were suddenly worthless and things haven't really improved in that regard. Here in Regional WA there's a whole lot of "keep the sheep" signs outside people's houses and on bumper stickers et cetera.