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I don’t buy this. In Nebraska there was an election between an independent union leader and a career politician. The union leader lost.
The consensus seems to be that people that voted democrat in 2020 voted republican this time because they experienced inflation under Biden that think it was his fault.
All the polls suggest it was driven by the economy. Inflation is quite moderate right now, but the prices stay high, so that's got to be on everyone's mind.
People around here think it's all manner of things except what voters are actually saying.