161

More states joining race to redraw congressional maps (minnesotareformer.com)

submitted 23 hours ago by tonytins@pawb.social to c/politics@lemmy.world

13 comments fedilink hide all child comments

President Donald Trump’s push to bolster the GOP’s narrow congressional majority in next year’s elections has prompted a rare nationwide mid-decade redistricting battle that has rapidly taken shape over the past weeks.

Indiana GOP lawmakers’ White House visit this week highlights how the race to redraw congressional districts for partisan advantage may soon expand beyond Texas and California — two states that have reached new stages in their dueling redistricting efforts. Missouri could also be on its way to redrawing its map to favor Republicans.

top 13 comments

sorted by: hot top controversial new old

[-] stickly@lemmy.world 19 points 16 hours ago

All gerrymandering works on suppression by dilution so it's a fine line to tread. When they try to scramble a solid blue city into 3 red districts, for example, there's a good chance that you cut it incorrectly and end up with 1-3 blue seats.

Trying to turn a whole state one color is really playing with fire, especially when you're churning out deeply unpopular policies the whole time. I'm sure everything will wash out with supplemental election tampering anyway, but this gerrymandering might not be as impactful as it's made out to be.

[-] xyzzy@lemmy.today 39 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

Indiana is 7-2 Republican. Indiana has a very safe Democratic seat in Indianapolis. They can probably pick up one seat here.

Missouri is 6-2. The state is already gerrymandered as well, with very safe Kansas City and St. Louis seats. They can probably dilute Kansas City enough to pick up one seat as well.

Meanwhile, New York is 19-7 Democrat. Colorado is 4-4.

There are 15 states with complete Democratic state control, 11 of which have Republican seats.

Meanwhile, there are 23 Republican-controlled states, but only 12 of those have Democratic seats. In almost every case, those are just one seat because the rest of the state is already gerrymandered as much as possible. I haven't looked through them all, but those seats are probably packed already and therefore safe.

It's theoretically possible for them to pick up some seats from Georgia, Florida, and Ohio, but that would probably leave many of those Republican seats vulnerable with a thin margin.

If Democrats take control of the Minnesota assembly, you could see opportunities there.

Democrats are favored to take control of Virginia, which could have several more opportunities.

I'm saying this is a fight Republicans will likely regret starting.

[-] ayyy@sh.itjust.works 9 points 15 hours ago

Ah, but you’re forgetting that the democrats will do absolutely fuck all while talking vehemently about how they’re trying sooooo hard.

[-] onslaught545@lemmy.zip 17 points 19 hours ago

I hope you're right

[-] taiyang@lemmy.world 9 points 17 hours ago

Man I'd love to see them try and fail, especially in those thin margin areas, although I'm pretty sure they're going to also make it's so difficult to vote blue by locating polling stations, adding even more restrictions (but only on Dems), and so on.

Given a non-zero number of reds being pissed off over tarrifs, Epstein, etc., it's certainly possible that it still backfires even with all the cheating, though. Throw in some underdog democrat not even backed by their own party and you might even end up with a weirdly progressive rep--- imagine no boomers (mail in ban), no traditional neolib Dems (no nearby polling station or motivation), and an influx of unemployed, pissed off young people willing to camp out at the polls.... anything could happen.

[-] AlecSadler 8 points 17 hours ago

I've grown weary of having hope, but I'll hold out one more time.

[-] pennomi@lemmy.world 26 points 20 hours ago

Game theory always predicted that the two party system would end up like this. I just didn’t expect it to collapse so suddenly.

[-] sartalon@lemmy.world 15 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

Wow, Game Theory called it?

George Washington fucking called it the minute we started electing people.

The fucking civil war happened over something incredibly similar to this.

This is pretty low hanging fruit to give anyone credit for "calling it".

[-] stickly@lemmy.world 7 points 17 hours ago

I mean... Mathematics isn't "anyone" and I'm not sure abstract modeling has the capability to call anything. But go off 👍

[-] cute_noker@feddit.dk 2 points 15 hours ago

Yet so many people support it because "it is more simple that way"

[-] 7U5K3N@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 20 hours ago

Do you have a link?

[-] pennomi@lemmy.world 4 points 9 hours ago

The tendency for FPTP systems to become an ironclad 2 Party System: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duverger%27s_law

And causes of polarization in US politics: https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/files/pegroup/files/mccartyshor2015.pdf

Basically 2 parties make it impossible to kill off bad actors in charge of the parties, leading to eventual extremism.

[-] 7U5K3N@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 7 hours ago

Thanks a bunch!!!

this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2025

161 points (100.0% liked)

politics

25385 readers

2368 users here now

Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!

Rules:

Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.

Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.

Example:

Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning

We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.

All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.

That's all the rules!

Civic Links

• Register To Vote

• Citizenship Resource Center

• Congressional Awards Program

• Federal Government Agencies

• Library of Congress Legislative Resources

• The White House

• U.S. House of Representatives

• U.S. Senate

Partnered Communities:

• News