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Just going for a swim
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I'm pretty sure survival chances are a lot lower than 80% when the water is freezing, and they're far from rescue.
I think they're saying you'll survive the landing. What happens after is more variable
Surprisingly, no. They counted deaths from exposure, drowning, etc as fatalities in this study: https://www.aviationsafetymagazine.com/features/the-myths-of-ditching/
This is just a review of NTSB data and some ditchings may have gone unreported. The main point is that ditching, even in the open ocean is very survivable.
That makes a lot more sense.