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this post was submitted on 10 Feb 2024
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For perspective, global annual GDP is $105 trillion, which means Altman is asking the world to invest 6.7% or so of the entire world's economic output for one year in his company.
Holy fucking bonkers when you put it that way. Like holy fuck.
Are they that close to something amazing, or is Altman going true Dr Evil megalomaniac?
It's both. Basically, if he's right that this is among the most important tech in world history and deserves $7 trillion in research, it'll make OpenAI the du jour monopolist over said most important tech in world history if he gets it. Outright dystopian.
Read the last paragraph of the OP at least. This is not asking for $5 trillion to be handed solely to OpenAI to go become a world monopoly on chip manufacture. What he’s really asking is for investors to direct funds to radically increasing world compute capacity, to the profit for the chip manufacturers and likely many others. OpenAI just gets to continue the track it’s on without this constraint. There is nothing here about them monopolistically controlling this entire investment and in fact the opposite is true: it’s framed as a broad partnership venture.
They're as close as theranos was, just need the money and "two more years".
"Ahh fuck it. Let's just hijack a nuclear weapon and hold the world hostage."
These days Dr. Evil would still get laughed at for demanding the $100 billion.
For being too high or being too low, like when he asked for a million dollars?
For being too low.
It may not be bonkers at all though. If we look at it as taking money and food out of people’s mouths for a year then yes it’s a lot. But how much free investment capital is there in the world at any given time? Wealth has been accumulating and accumulating in rich people’s investment portfolios for ever and ever. How many Trillions get allocated in any given year? All Altman is saying is that he wants 5 of those to be allocated here and not somewhere else. It’s not necessarily taking rice out of any children’s mouths.
Ye and he wants it for a fucking chatbot.
They are that close to cocaine.
And the world's 5 biggest companies their total market cap is a bit over 8 trillion dollars, which is also mind boggling, that so much capital is concentrated in the hands of so few people or shall we say mega corporations.
Came here to say this. Does she know how much money there is in the world? He is asking for basically 1/20th of all the money in the world. Even if that was possible it would be dangerous for one company to hold that much.
Money can be created by banks via loans, you can just make it up.
But then you end up with inflation. So in the process of creating money you've reduced the value of the money. And banks working in cooperation with government create money. Private companies outside of the banking system can't create their own money anymore. If any sizable portion of this is taken out as a loan. It creates a systemic risk for the world economy.
Banks most certainly make up money today via loans. This happens all the time.
But this isn't a bank. And making money doesn't come without consequences. You're not thinking about second and third order effects. This would basically be quantitative easing on a grand scale but for just one company. It would literally destroy the economy if the investment failed. And they aren't the only player in the industry. The level of systemic risk is too large. And if it didn't fail, it would basically be handing the world economy over to one player.