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submitted 10 months ago by mambabasa@slrpnk.net to c/climate@slrpnk.net

Data from Climate Reanalyzer says that daily sea surface temperatures for January 2024 are higher than they were in January 2023.

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[-] sonori@beehaw.org 15 points 10 months ago

While it is possible we hit an unknown and unmodeled tipping point, until we get conformation as to what caused the vast shift in the last year it’s still possible it is temporary and we’ll fall back down to the temperature increases we’ve seen up until this point.

Not that it really matters, seeing as what we need to be done doesn’t change with how high it gets.

[-] astrsk@kbin.social 7 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Doesn’t help that El Niño is currently in effect, with the next several seasons predicted to be affected by it. Muddies the data, so to speak.

[-] zurohki@aussie.zone 12 points 10 months ago

Yeah, but some of those previous years had El Niño too and they're waaaay down below the 2023 and 2024 lines.

[-] noxfriend@beehaw.org 6 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Precisely. A lot of them! El nino is not rare

[-] TheFriar@lemm.ee 1 points 10 months ago

It’s very much the case that El Niño is affecting our perception right now, but La Niña is believed to be making a comeback in a few months.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/01/will-la-nina-return-this-fall-the-tea-leaves-are-unusually-strong/

Then again, that’s not exactly good news. Hurricanes, drought…yay.

this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2024
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