I highly doubt this for one big reason: The courts have already ruled that AI generated content isn't eligible for copyright protection.

Suppose a studio managed to make a Big AI Action Franchise using only AI. They wouldn't be able to copyright any of the movie. This would mean that people could download and share it freely. Streaming services could put it online without needing to pay the studio that "made" the film. Movie theaters could get a copy online and show it instead of paying for copies.

A copyright free AI Movie would be a revenue disaster. And we know that if there's one thing the studios care about, it's money.

"These people will be replaced one day, so let's not pay them fairly now" is not the good argument you think it is.

Very soon is still 10 years out, but you aren’t wrong.

Ironically this will level the playing field for truly good and creative writing, but will also generate a fuck ton of “crap”

It’s gonna be an interesting ride.

There is no way that completely AI generated movies will be the majority of content that people actually watch and talk about in the next 50 years. Yes, it will take over a lot of the tedious parts of filming and will probably make up a significant portion of a lot of movies, like any kind of automation does.

Any attempts to AI generate a script for a full movie is going to be gibberish without human intervention, actually doing the right emotion for the right lines, and action scenes that aren't a train wreck are going to be comedic levels of crap for a very, very long time.

Humans can barely pull all of those off and what is the AI going to learn from when most of the current movies are crap? Hell, I will be impressed when AI can create a 10 minute short that is coherent and I don't see that happening before 2050.

That’s awesome, why would we need the studios then? I can just generate my own movies. But until then maybe we can compensate actors fairly and the studios can also live on until we don’t need them anymore.

Their feedback loop will turn into copying a copy real quick. And the moment AI puts any hurt on any industry their lobbyists will get copyright updated and fuck AI sideways.

This is all assuming a single AI produced thing isn't a horror show top to bottom which is a tall order.

If AI can write, direct, act, and stage the movie then what is the production company for?

If everything can be done by computer, then one small shop can type the idea into some cloud service and spit out a movie just as easily as Disney.

Sure, for a couple years things might be proprietary, but just like every other software innovation, it'll quickly trickle down to everyone else and then the only thing left for a studio to do is marketing.

but I thought the supreme court has already deemed AI as unenforceable copyright. so anything they do could just be reproduced for free/cheap, so not really a sustainable idea?

Kaufman already commented on this by saying that most drivel shat out by Hollywood could be done by AI anyways.

It's rare you see something original and good. Most people won't know whether the next 10 marvel movies are written by AI because it's all ad-lib crap anyways.

He specifically likened it to eating fast food your entire life and thinking it's normal because you haven't had anything else.

I hope you feel ashamed when AI dies just like the VCs' last interest, crypto and NFTs :)

if that happens hollywood as we know it's over anyways. if anyone in their basement can just AI generate a whole ass movie, they will. hell you could make your own at home with a good enough GPU