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this post was submitted on 19 Mar 2023
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Fuck Cars
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Population density isn't the only variable that determines the number of passengers. The other two critical variables are service levels (the quality of public transport services and how frequently they run), and modal share (the percentage of trips taken by public transport.
High population density doesn't automatically guarantee either good service levels, or high ridership (although it can help with both of those things).
There are high-density cities with low ridership and low modal shares, and very low density villages (think Switzerland) that have high public transport modal shares and relatively high levels of public transport ridership.
There are real world examples where increasing service frequency leads to a huge growth in public transport use. It's the same area, with the same population density, upgrading to higher service frequencies has led to higher public transport modal share, and higher ridership. Here's an example: https://www.busnews.com.au/industry-news/0907/patronage-on-new-smartbus-route-highest-on-record
In many suburbs, the modal share for cars is well over 90% because there's no viable alternative.
If the public transport option is one or two buses every hour, then of course it's not going to be a viable option for many people.
Increase the frequency to one bus every 10 minutes, and it becomes a more viable option for more people, and suddenly it becomes a much better option for more people. This leads to a higher percentage of trips being made by public transport.
These are good points. In general I think it is good to increase bus frequency everywhere.
However I do still think that we should prioritise adding bus services to try and maximize usage (and stop as many car journeys as possible). Population density is definitely a factor here but (as you pointed out) so are other things like car usage in the area.
@uthredii @ajsadauskas Car Dependency ≠ Transport Choice
It's not really a war on cars. It's a war on having no choices but the cars. Even the cars have a nicer time when the lanes are replaced with bikes and trams. Ask any Dutch car driver.
Fine, ask any TV commercial for a car. Do you see other cars in it? Well, DO YOU?
Oh, don't get me wrong, I'm all for higher density and transport-oriented developments.
But at the same time, there are still a lot of suburbs out there, and until we can retrofit them all, we should aim to get at least some decent public transport out there.
@ajsadauskas @uthredii ^^^ this post
… should be a dull-ass statement of the bleeding obvious
pity it ain't