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submitted 15 hours ago by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/world@lemmy.world

According to a Wall Street Journal report citing US intelligence, Russia could be preparing a limited incursion against a NATO member state within weeks. The report comes as the war in Ukraine remains largely deadlocked and the impact of the conflict is increasingly felt inside Russia.

Analysts cited in the report suggest Vladimir Putin may seek to open a new front rather than risk being remembered as the leader who lost Ukraine, raising fresh questions about NATO’s readiness and resolve.

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[-] yesman@lemmy.world 60 points 15 hours ago

This doesn't make any sense. NATO is much stronger than it was before the war. Russia is much weaker.

The Baltic States started the war isolated, partially surrounded by Russia. Today they sit in a NATO lake that can not only support the Baltics, but threaten St Petersburg.

Russia would have to defend a front stretching from the Black sea to the Arctic sea.

Even if the US declined to help, Russia starts in a position of great weakness. And worse still, everyone knows it.

[-] kwozyman@lemmy.world 43 points 14 hours ago

Putin needs a defeat from NATO, not from Ukraine alone. If he loses to the biggest military alliance of the world, he might be able to somewhat sell it to the public on the home front. It would also play right into the propaganda they've been spewing that Russia is fighting the collective West.

[-] WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 6 points 10 hours ago

It's probably seriously frustrating for Putin to keep poking NATO with drones or other stuff and not get anybody retaliating.

[-] bad1080@piefed.social 7 points 9 hours ago

not getting a reaction when he annexed crimea in 2014 was exactly what got us into the current situation

[-] CapuccinoCoretto@lemmy.world 25 points 14 hours ago

this doesn't make any sense.

Agreed, but if I had a dollar for every time the world did something stupid and non-sensical I would be emperor of Earth.

[-] plyth@feddit.org 4 points 14 hours ago

Non-sensical to you or non-sensical to the people in power?

[-] VinegarChunks@lemmus.org 13 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Russia’s invasion if Ukraine , for example, makes perfect sense if you’re a dictator surrounded by yes-men blowing smoke up your ass about your amazing military strength for years (while they take the military money and spend it on yachts in the Mediterranean)

I really doubt Putin would make this particular mistake twice though

[-] plyth@feddit.org 3 points 13 hours ago

blowing smoke up your ass about your amazing military strength for years

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khasham

Can they hide that?

[-] CapuccinoCoretto@lemmy.world 2 points 11 hours ago

The paranoid schizophrenic who chopped a stranger's head off on a bus, unprovoked, thought he was reasonable - a demon intent on acts of unspeakable evil had to be destroyed. :/

[-] idiomaddict@lemmy.world 2 points 10 hours ago

Yes, and humans with rabies will refuse to drink, even though they need water to survive. Decisions made under literal medical delusions aren’t stupid or nonsensical, they’re misinformed and inherently alogical.

[-] CapuccinoCoretto@lemmy.world 1 points 8 hours ago

The point is it felt reasonable at the time to the individual.

[-] stickyprimer@lemmy.world 1 points 9 hours ago

This is a half-formed thought but Russia is quite strong in exactly one way: nuclear warhead count. That doesn’t help him resupply Crimea but perhaps he’s trying to change the scope or scale of the conflict in a way that would make this strength more relevant?

[-] perviouslyiner@lemmy.world 5 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

Are they specialised in this new type of war, though? I saw something about Americans being wiped out in simulated exercises against Ukrainian drone operators - and the Russians will be bringing that kind of experience to someone who has only been learning in classrooms from Ukrainians.

[-] nerdyshades@lemmy.world 2 points 9 hours ago

Although they did initially get "wiped out", but (from the article):

by repeating the training scenario throughout the two-week exercise, US Army troops got better at figuring out how to disperse and hide from the drones while using countermeasures such as electronic warfare.

Which is the point of these exercises. It’ll still take time to modify doctrine and train, but the US is now more practically informed on this type of warfare.

this post was submitted on 17 Aug 2026
105 points (100.0% liked)

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