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I think you're right that there's a spectrum, where one end is bound by raw physical strength and the other end is bound by technique. However, I'd draw the line for segregation closer to the strength end than you, I think. Granted, this is ultimately all just subjective.
I think for many sports the physical advantage men have (on average) would outweigh any technique advantage a woman may have. Especially if we consider professional sports, where the skill (technique) of all participants is already exceptionally high.
I'm not a martial arts expert, but I would argue that the existence of weight classes in most martial arts is evidence that raw strength is a factor that can't be ignored. It's a fact that for an athletic man and an athletic woman of equal weight, the man will be stronger.
Right. It's not a fact that the man will be a more skilled or successful fighter (or insert any sports position here) than the woman based on strength alone, so why should we assume that it is?
I agree that technique is absolutely a critical component that women can be equal to men on.
I'm just arguing that a woman would have to have an incredible technique advantage to overcome a man's strength advantage (in most martial arts). Is it possible? Certainly. Is it a realistic situation, especially at the professional level? I'm not so sure.
That's why I brought up weight classes. Sure, a lighter weight class athlete has the potential to beat a heavier opponent with superior technique. But the skill gap necessary for that to happen isn't realistic, therefore the playing field is leveled by strength (weight class).
Men will still be stronger at equal weight than women though the difference isn't as drastic any more.
About martial arts in particular though women have an advantage when it comes to actually being mentally capable of learning proper technique early on. You can tell your ordinary 16yold guy as often as you want that they should trust technique, punch with their legs, etc. it won't get through their skull and they'll over-tense to "feel the strain" the moment you turn your back on them. They just love their 3rd class levers. Probably even makes sense from an evolutionary POV as doing things inefficiently is strength training.
It's definitely possible for a woman to get better than a random street punk (though not with "feminist self defence" type of classes, those are generally bullshido). Against a properly trained man, though? Let's say that the only thing my SO manages to be is a handful when I try to tickle her and it's kinda hard to tickle when you don't have a free hand.