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this post was submitted on 03 May 2026
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They're definitely gearing up for major anti-China action, but I doubt Trump or the oligarchs are that keen to fight a war they'll lose even worse than the war with Iran. After that disaster, many of the US's potential allies in a war over Taiwan will not be keen on sticking their neck out. Without their support, the US has little chance at stopping China. It'd be much more convenient for them if Taiwan surrenders to China and they can virtue signal about authoritarianism. They might even get the computer parts on backorder for a few years.
The only reason the US would go to war with China is if Trump really is that stupid. In that case, nobody but his cult will really be happy with the outcome.