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this post was submitted on 22 Apr 2026
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Maybe, but I don't think that the conditions are nearly as bad as they were in 1917. They're obviously worse than they would have been had Russia not entered into the war, but the collapse in 1917 was due to urban food shortages. I don't mean "luxury X is unavailable", but that people couldn't get staple food to survive because of demands of the war.
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/russias-february-revolution-was-led-women-march-180962218/
https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/guides/ztyk87h/revision/5
Now, okay. It's possible that standards for political support are different, that the bar has changed. But the public in Russia of 2026
though it may be in a worse state than Russia of 2020 due to resources consumed by the war
is also not experiencing the degree of deprivation of Russia of 1917.
It’s true. Looking back on revolutions, starvation is a common cause. What we haven’t seen is a relatively better off population revolt because their conditions got notably worse, from pretty good to pretty bad but not close to starvation.
That is definitely true, but 21st century examples of revolution don't necessarily need a food shortage to begin (Maidan, Nepal, etc.)
I’m no historian but I think self-determination is up there with starvation as a common cause for revolt. But Russians wouldn’t be throwing off the shackles of a foreign empire.
This is consistently true of most revolutions. Once a lot of people are staring at the possibility of starvation you hit critical mass on people with nothing to lose.