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I think the chances that republicans will admit their guy is incompetent is close to 0. They will rather lock him up in the white house basement for 2 years.
I think they've been puppeteering him since he first took the oath in 2017. They just guide him to the decisions that they want. There may be a few original ideas, but I doubt many of them are.
Remember his father was made to think he was working https://people.com/fred-trump-family-history-dementia-donald-behavior-exclusive-8738427
As soon as he's no longer useful he'll be discarded. Right now they can push through an agenda, blame it all on him and he'll just lap it up. Any attention to him is a good thing. He's an idiot but he's managed to attract some vile, politically savvy people to his cabinet. They know what they're doing.
No, the optics here are very important. If they get rid of a sitting president during the next elections democrats will say "the last guy they nominated was so bad they had to get rid of him, you can't trust them". This damages the brand and they don't want that. They always have to project confidence and never admit mistakes. It was the same with Biden. People around him new for a very long time that he was unfit for office but were hiding it for as long as they could. Republicans will do the same but Trump doesn't have to do any debates. He just has to wave at people from a distance and sign papers.