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Assuming the rate stays constant, yeah, but ... also yeah... looking at it over a larger time frame is also pretty discouraging.
My uh, mass mortality concern at the moment though is SNAP being cut off next month.
... we have maybe around 2 or 3 weeks before up to 42 million people begin to either starve or steal.
There is absolutely no way this will end well.
Absolutely. Thanks for spreading the word. I feel like not enough people know about it (or the real reasons for the shutdown, ugh.) I'm really worried about it. My family and I (disabled & unable to work) rely on them. I hope the shutdown crap gets figured out (in a decent way) and SNAP will be back soon, but I don't know... I don't know what I or countless other people will do. The food banks here are already overrun and can't keep up - that's before food stamps being cut off. 😬 I was already super struggling before this. I'm stressing!
I am also disabled... but, in a situation where... yeah I kept trying to qualify for SNAP, but uh... nope, I make too much money with SSDI, basically only because they count the part that's deducted for Medicare, that I don't ever see... as income.
If they didn't do that, then I would have qualified for SNAP.
Yay.
But, what that means is I've figured out how to not die without SNAP... and... also because I am an econometrician by school and trade... welp, I've been slowly and quietly stockpiling a surplus of rice and beans and soup and such since the tariffs started happening...
I predicted a signifcant rise in food prices.
I did not predict SNAP being entirely turned off. Cut back a good deal, yes, but no, not just entirely fucking off.
I guess what I would say is that you and yours should probably do as much stockpiling of basic staples like that as you can, before the grocery stores become warzones.
And to do that as inconspicuously as possible, unless there is some local, tight knit mutual aid group you can join.
Oh right of course, yeah if SSDI gets turned off, welp, yeah, I'm dead in probably under 6 months.