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this post was submitted on 17 Jul 2025
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I don’t think you understand what it means to make an assumption. Unless you have true population data (as opposed to sample data), you’re making assumptions. True population data does not exist because we don't have UBI in Canada.
You’re using the numbers from the study along with stats from past years to justify how things will look when you implement UBI. You can either assume that implementing UBI does not affect the distribution of these stats in any way, or you can assume that they change following a certain model. You do not adjust these stats in any way, therefore you assume that these stats will remain unchanged.
If there's more than enough for every single person, how does it make sense to say that that the cost UBI is excessive? If we take enough food to feed everyone in the country and just distribute them to each person to ensure that everyone is fed, would that work? The food is there, so we can do it. What if instead of distributing the food, we give everyone vouchers to get their daily food? Is that any different? How about we instead give them a fungible voucher (i.e. money) that they can choose to use on food or anything else? Ditto with every other need.
Not even the slightest interest in figuring out the truth?
Explain it to me. Preferably with your own numbers, and assessments.
I told you earlier that I don't have numbers. My assessment is that the numbers you provided aren't valid and I explained why in the last two comments. You can respond to those if you like. Repeating what you've said word for word does not add any new information. If you don't want to continue the discussion, that's fine, but if you have insight on why my reasoning might be wrong, I'd like to hear it.
Your reasoning is wrong because it has nothing to do with my point. There has been no discussion because of that. It is a simple math problem.
Take care.