Important to remember, too, that a lot of those polls make meaningful assumptions about who is likely to turn out, and Mamdani's strategy is pretty zeroed-in on mobilizing registered democrats who ordinarily would not be likely to vote in a primary race.

Cuomo's campaign is extremely traditional and aiming at traditionally active primary voters, so it would be extremely encouraging to see a major race be won by the radical, non-traditional candidate over the traditional establishment one. It would certainly open up the field for 2028, especially against establishment democrats who's main advantage is their safe coalition numbers.