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[-] WarlordSdocy@lemmy.zip 47 points 1 month ago

Actually there are more polls coming out that have Mamdani ahead now, still extremely close but I wouldn't call it a guaranteed win for Cuomo. Especially since we're just starting to see the ripple effects from the Mayoral debate and AOC's endorsement.

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/11/zohran-mamdani-climbs-to-top-of-poll-leading-andrew-cuomo-00401594

[-] Asafum@feddit.nl 18 points 1 month ago

I really hope that's true! Given all our history I've grown to have very little faith in the electorate lol

[-] WarlordSdocy@lemmy.zip 12 points 1 month ago

Yeah that's fair, I think the main thing you can hope for is that a lot of Cuomo's support comes just from people who pick him just because they recognize him, which means they're probably not high propensity voters. Meanwhile a lot of Mamdani's support is grassroots which means hopefully a lot of his supporters are high propensity voters.

[-] anarchiddy@lemmy.dbzer0.com 11 points 1 month ago

Important to remember, too, that a lot of those polls make meaningful assumptions about who is likely to turn out, and Mamdani's strategy is pretty zeroed-in on mobilizing registered democrats who ordinarily would not be likely to vote in a primary race.

Cuomo's campaign is extremely traditional and aiming at traditionally active primary voters, so it would be extremely encouraging to see a major race be won by the radical, non-traditional candidate over the traditional establishment one. It would certainly open up the field for 2028, especially against establishment democrats who's main advantage is their safe coalition numbers.

this post was submitted on 12 Jun 2025
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