Of course getting real data here is very difficult but I really do feel its becoming very easy to be a pirate.

I can only share my anecdotes that I see right now - if I type in "iptv" to the main e-commerce websites here in Thailand (Lazada, Shopee, tiktok) all have hundreds of listings and thousands of monthly sales. Iptv piracy tech UX is very similar to Plex or Jellyfin tho the latter is more expensive to run and more legally challenging but the UX from the customers pov is identical. Buy a subscription, get account details and app install instructions, connect and watch. So UX is not the barrier here imo.

There are also tools inspired by popcorn time like Stremio + Torrentio which is basically pirate netflix with no UX overhead at all - click and play - but the quality still isn't great there due to lack of p2p supply and the install process is not accessible to grannies.

As an ancient pirate myself, this does worry me a bit as it's becoming too easy and corporate services are really pushing the consumers which brings way too much attention to piracy and might result in more DRM shit being added everywhere.