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Opinion: Mark Carney has shown a confidence in the existence of Canada
(www.theglobeandmail.com)
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Here's a lot more on his outlook on governance:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=uvw-aC0KLD4
He deeply believes in stakeholder capitalism. That government should intervene relatively consistently in most aspects of society. Its hard to believe the polls could do a 180 like that, given the Carney and Pierre are ideologically opposite.
Not difficult to believe at all, once you remember that the average voter makes their decision based on emotions rather than rational thought. There were a whole bunch of people who wanted anyone other than Trudeau as PM. They would have agreed to vote for a pet rock as long as its name wasn't "Justin Trudeau", but they didn't really think much of Poilievre even if they saw him as the only alternative to The Guy They Didn't Want.
Politics in a democracy are more a popularity contest than anything else.