submitted 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) by avidamoeba@lemmy.ca to c/canada@lemmy.ca

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Party	Seats	Change	Percentage	Majority Probability	Minority Probability
Liberal	190	+37	44.2%	88.1%	11.6%
Conservative	120	-1	38.5%	0.2%	4.8%
Bloc	26	-7	6.2%	N/A	N/A
New Democrat	6	-19	6.6%	N/A	N/A
Green	1	-1	1.5%	N/A	N/A
People's	0	N/A	2.5%	N/A	N/A

Source: https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/dashboard/canada#voter-intention

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[-] Dtules@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago

I mean, I'm probably voting Liberal (the NDP have had a strong showing in my riding in the past, so I'm not entirely decided), but I kind of believe this.

Carney is obviously the least comfortable out of the main candidates in speaking in French. I don't believe the cost is a real factor. Maybe "afraid" isn't the right word, but it does seem to be strategic in a way that avoids potential negative exposure for him. I have mixed feelings about it.