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submitted 2 months ago by floofloof@lemmy.ca to c/space@lemmy.world
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[-] maegul@lemmy.ml 23 points 2 months ago

From the article

In a new update, the space agency has increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth, with the probability of impact rising to 3.1 per cent or one-in-32 odds of impact β€” the highest probability of a collision yet.

IE - 3%.

3% events happen all of the time!

The article stresses that this probability has been going up over the past year or so, which is likely neither here nor there, but I can totally understand how it’s alarming in a post-COVID world.

[-] midribbon_action 13 points 2 months ago

Slightly more likely than rolling two sixes.

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this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2025
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