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Israel Is Routinely Shooting Children in the Head in Gaza: U.S. Surgeon & Palestinian Nurse
(www.democracynow.org)
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this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2024
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The problem in the European Union is called Germany, whose politicians seem to have never leaved the whole "We support any Holocaust as long as it's a ´good´ race ´solving the problem' of a ´bad´ race" mindset.
If the US tries to hit any EU country with any commercial sanction the EU as whole is Treaty bound to impose counter-sanctions on the US and America doesn't really want to see its access to a market of 470 million people cut and its tacit support from the biggest trade block around to it's Guerrilla Trade War with China to dissapear completelly.
One of the main reason why the EU exists (the other being to incentivise Peace in Europe through tight trade ties) is exactly because whilst large nations like the US can indeed bully small and even medium sized nations via trade and sanctions, they can't bully a tightly integrated association of nations adding up to a larger Economy with a larger Market than the US.
The US trying that shit on EU nations would just result in a Trade War and a significant acceleration of the current post-Imperial decay stage the US is in.
But there are bills currently in congress going for approval that will target the EU specifically, such as the one mentioned on my previous comment, where US companies would face fines for joining boycott movements promoted at a EU level. Whether they will succeed or not is still not determined, but there are actors inside the US trying to push this agenda towards the rest of Europe. I do hope the EU does as you say and not fold on the US pressure, because i really don't want to see our union bundled together with US foreign policy as it has been since the 2000s.
What the US politicians think, decide and legislate is irrelevant: the US actually targetting EU nations would directly yield counter-sanctions from the whole of the EU because that's a core part of the EU Membership Treaties (so, not the kind of thing that can just be blocked by a veto from a US-friendly EU member nation), and those would seriously impact the US Economy, not to mention the indirect impact on the US' broader geostrategical influence from treating the EU as an adversary.
For the EU it would be something like Brexit - even if the EU loses from a hard posture, it cannot afford to let the other side get away with it without very painful consequences because that would result in them doing even worst things later and would incentivise others to do the same - only in this case the EU would suffer way less from playing hardball with the US than it did from doing it with Brexiting Britain.
For the US it would basically be comitting Trade Suicide at the feet of China.
If the US Congress and Senate are too stupid and actually pass those laws and POTOS too is too stupid and actually uses it, all without the companies that are going to get screwed the most by counter-sanctions (mainly Tech) lobbying that proposal away into nothing, thats a lot more a US problem than an EU problem and there is no way at all that the upsides are close to even just begin to justify the downsides.
(Sure it would hurt the EU, just a lot less than doing nothing about it would).
Personally I would love for the US policians to try it and find out.
If Trump, god forbid, were elected, one of the things he has threatened is to withdraw from NATO and let Putin just overrun Europe. It will be difficult to do anything economically when being actively invaded by someone who doesn't care about the lives of his own soldiers, much less that of civilians.
Putin isn't even able to overrun Ukraine who have been getting mostly equipment from 1 generation ago, mostly late and with a ton of limitations imposed on its use, and has a much smaller population than Europe (and a tiny Economy next to it), and you think he would be able to overrun Europe?
Poland alone would probably suffice to stop him.
That's with Western weaponry helping out. But with orange man, Europe would be on its own. I can only hope you're right with Poland if things go south.