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submitted 1 hour ago* (last edited 1 hour ago) by iluvdata@lemmy.world to c/technology@lemmy.world

GPUs: +19.2% in one month

Fixed basket of 176 GPU models, tracked at 3+ retailers daily for 30 days (July 15 - August 14), to rule out the distortion that happens when cheap cards sell out and skew a simple daily average.

  • July 15: €808.57 average
  • August 14: €963.56 average +19.2%, same 176 cards throughout

Not a single spike, started climbing around July 24-25 and has been steady since. Consistent across markets too: Germany +19.6%, France +18.1%.

RAM: +18.6% over two months

Same fixed-basket approach: 112 DDR5 kits in stock at 2+ retailers on both June 19 and August 18, tracked daily throughout.

  • June 19: €666.80 average
  • August 18: €791.14 average +18.6%, same 112 kits throughout

This one had a sharper inflection point: flat through most of June, then a sudden +6% overnight jump on July 1 (checked individual SKUs to rule out a data glitch, it's real, looks like a manufacturer-side price change hitting multiple retailers the same day), followed by continued climbing through mid-July, then a slower steady rise since.

Methodology, for both: price is the average across whichever 2-3+ retailers carried a given product on a given day, not the single cheapest price, and not a blended average across a shifting product list, a fixed set of SKUs, verified daily, same products at the start and end of the period.

Data limitation: RAM figures are consumer DDR5 desktop kits only

Independent corroboration: German tech outlet Heise recently reported a similar ~20% GPU price increase: https://www.heise.de/news/Grafikkarten-werden-nochmals-rund-20-Prozent-teurer-11409262.html

Data source: PriceSquirrel, tracking hardware prices across 20+ EU retailers.

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I run a EU PC hardware price tracker, 25+ stores across 9 countries, and wanted to check: are GPU prices actually rising, or does it just feel that way?

To make this defensible, I didn't just average "whatever's in stock" each day, that inflates the trend if cheap cards sell out and drop off the average. Instead I built a fixed basket: 176 GPU models tracked at 3+ different retailers, every single day for the last 30 days, no gaps, no swapping in or out.

Result:

  • July 15: €808.57 average
  • August 14: €963.56 average
  • +19.2% in one month, same 176 cards throughout

The rise wasn't sudden, it started climbing around July 24-25 and has been steady since, not one spike from a single event:

  • July 15-23: flat, €805-815
  • July 24-31: climbing, €826 → €906
  • Aug 1-14: continued rise, plateauing slightly in the last week, €910 → €964

Methodology, upfront: "price" here is each product's average price across whichever 3+ retailers carried it that day (not the single cheapest, not a blended market average across a shifting product list). Basket is fixed, same 176 SKUs day 1 and day 30, verified daily. This is EU-wide, not one country.

Happy to break this down by tier (5060 vs 5070 vs 5080/5090) or AMD vs NVIDIA if there's interest, this is currently the aggregate number :)

iluvdata

joined 1 week ago