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submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by early_riser@lemmy.world to c/worldbuilding@lemmy.world

I just thought I'd put this out there for comment.

Semelparity is when a species only reproduces once in a lifetime. Usually semelparous species die soon after giving birth. Yinrih, however, are both semelparous and long-lived thanks to a high degree of parental care conferring a survival advantage.

Yinrih live on average around 724 Terran years (let's say 700 to make the math easier). A yinrih pup reaches maturity at around 53 Terran years, but let's assume because of social factors they don't reproduce until around the age of 100 on average.

The average litter size is 1.5 times the number of contributing parents. Yinrih can have between 2 to 12 biological parents. This group of parents is called a childermoot. Let's say that once you account for childhood death, infertility, conscious decision not to have pups, etc, the number of pups in a litter that go on to become parents is about 1.2 times the size of the childermoot.

Let's say at year zero there are 50000 newly hatched yinrih. They reproduce at year 100, giving a total population of 50000*1.2 + 50000 = 60000 This trend continues until year 700. The first cohort of 50000 yinrih dies, so from here out we subtract the population older than 700. The population reaches 3 billion (my threshold for achieving orbital flight) at around the year 5750.

population table

Terran Year Population Cohort Size
0 50,000.00
100 110,000.00 60,000.00
200 182,000.00 72,000.00
300 268,400.00 86,400.00
400 372,080.00 103,680.00
500 496,496.00 124,416.00
600 645,795.20 149,299.20
700 774,954.24 179,159.04
800 879,945.09 214,990.85
900 955,934.11 257,989.02
1000 997,120.93 309,586.82
1100 996,545.11 371,504.19
1200 945,854.13 445,805.02
1300 835,024.96 534,966.03
1400 702,029.95 641,959.23
1500 592,435.94 770,351.08
1600 560,923.13 924,421.29
1700 673,107.76 1,109,305.55
1800 1,007,729.31 1,331,166.66
1900 1,659,275.17 1,597,400.00
2000 2,741,130.21 1,916,880.00
2100 4,339,356.25 2,300,256.00
2200 6,507,227.50 2,760,307.19
2300 9,258,673.00 3,312,368.63
2400 12,560,407.60 3,974,842.36
2500 16,322,489.12 4,769,810.83
2600 20,386,986.95 5,723,773.00
2700 24,514,384.34 6,868,527.60
2800 28,417,261.20 8,242,233.12
2900 31,800,713.44 9,890,679.74
3000 34,410,856.13 11,868,815.69
3100 36,093,027.36 14,242,578.83
3200 36,861,632.83 17,091,094.59
3300 36,983,959.40 20,509,313.51
3400 37,080,751.28 24,611,176.21
3500 38,196,901.53 29,533,411.46
3600 41,836,281.84 35,440,093.75
3700 49,953,538.20 42,528,112.50
3800 64,894,245.84 51,033,735.00
3900 89,273,095.01 61,240,482.00
4000 125,777,714.02 73,488,578.40
4100 176,883,256.82 88,186,294.08
4200 244,509,908.18 105,823,552.89
4300 329,661,889.82 126,988,263.47
4400 432,094,267.78 152,385,916.17
4500 550,063,121.34 182,863,099.40
4600 680,225,745.61 219,435,719.28
4700 817,770,894.73 263,322,863.14
4800 956,875,073.67 315,987,435.76
4900 1,091,550,088.41 379,184,922.92
5000 1,216,910,106.09 455,021,907.50
5100 1,330,842,127.31 546,026,289.00
5200 1,436,010,552.77 655,231,546.80
5300 1,542,062,663.32 786,277,856.16
5400 1,667,825,195.99 943,533,427.39
5500 1,843,190,235.18 1,132,240,112.87
5600 2,110,328,282.22 1,358,688,135.44
5700 2,523,843,938.67 1,630,425,762.53
5800 3,149,512,726.40 1,956,510,915.04

It is likely I'm making some mistakes. I've assumed that the yinrih's exotic reproductive strategy doesn't effect the population. We can assume that a human has two parents, but this is not the case for yinrih.

Addendum:

I tried a slightly different strategy. Same starting numbers, but this time I got the present population by summing the cohorts younger than 700. The good news is I came up with a similar result, with the population reaching my 3 billion threshold around 5250.

Table for method 2

Terran Year Population Cohort size
0 50000 50,000.00
100 110,000.00 60,000.00
200 182,000.00 72,000.00
300 268,400.00 86,400.00
400 372,080.00 103,680.00
500 496,496.00 124,416.00
600 645,795.20 149,299.20
700 774,954.24 179,159.04
800 929,945.09 214,990.85
900 1,115,934.11 257,989.02
1000 1,339,120.93 309,586.82
1100 1,606,945.11 371,504.19
1200 1,928,334.13 445,805.02
1300 2,314,000.96 534,966.03
1400 2,776,801.15 641,959.23
1500 3,332,161.38 770,351.08
1600 3,998,593.66 924,421.29
1700 4,798,312.39 1,109,305.55
1800 5,757,974.87 1,331,166.66
1900 6,909,569.85 1,597,400.00
2000 8,291,483.82 1,916,880.00
2100 9,949,780.58 2,300,256.00
2200 11,939,736.69 2,760,307.19
2300 14,327,684.03 3,312,368.63
2400 17,193,220.84 3,974,842.36
2500 20,631,865.01 4,769,810.83
2600 24,758,238.01 5,723,773.00
2700 29,709,885.61 6,868,527.60
2800 35,651,862.74 8,242,233.12
2900 42,782,235.28 9,890,679.74
3000 51,338,682.34 11,868,815.69
3100 61,606,418.81 14,242,578.83
3200 73,927,702.57 17,091,094.59
3300 88,713,243.08 20,509,313.51
3400 106,455,891.70 24,611,176.21
3500 127,747,070.04 29,533,411.46
3600 153,296,484.05 35,440,093.75
3700 183,955,780.85 42,528,112.50
3800 220,746,937.03 51,033,735.00
3900 264,896,324.43 61,240,482.00
4000 317,875,589.32 73,488,578.40
4100 381,450,707.18 88,186,294.08
4200 457,740,848.62 105,823,552.89
4300 549,289,018.34 126,988,263.47
4400 659,146,822.01 152,385,916.17
4500 790,976,186.41 182,863,099.40
4600 949,171,423.69 219,435,719.28
4700 1,139,005,708.43 263,322,863.14
4800 1,366,806,850.11 315,987,435.76
4900 1,640,168,220.14 379,184,922.92
5000 1,968,201,864.17 455,021,907.50
5100 2,361,842,237.00 546,026,289.00
5200 2,834,210,684.40 655,231,546.80
5300 3,401,052,821.28 786,277,856.16
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this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2025
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