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Throughout 2024 Open Source AI has been slowly catching up with investor-funded AI, but in the first weeks of 2025 that has dramatically accelerated. Now Open Source isn't just catching up, it is arguably better and superior to investor-funded AI.

Restrictions on chip imports seem to be driving Chinese innovation, not slowing them down. Using lesser chips, they've optimized AI to run cheaper and more efficiently, but be just as powerful. Not only that, they've open-sourced that AI.

Where does that leave the hundreds of billions poured into investor-funded AI? Who knows. But they've no product to sell that people can't get elsewhere way cheaper or for free.

This also means AI will become decentralized and democratized. Many thought it would just be in the hands of Big Tech, but the exact opposite scenario is playing out.

What are the economic implications? AI hype is keeping the US stock market afloat - how long can that last?

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[-] just_another_person@lemmy.world 10 points 5 days ago

That is the point. It's a smart play to bankrupt idiot investors in speculative tech that are run by assclowns like the ones trying to make "AI" a viable product in the US. It embarrasses those fools, makes people more broke, and shifts a ton more money towards China for manufacturing the hardware all this shit runs on. Win-win for China.

Only these dumbfucks in the US are trying to build megacorps on it as if it's not just a really fast way to sort through data. China just played all these folks so hard.

[-] FaceDeer@fedia.io 2 points 5 days ago

It's a blow to the big closed-source AI companies, sure, but hardly a knockout one. If a small company can use a million dollars to produce a neat model perhaps a big company can use those same techniques and a billion dollars to produce a really neat model. Or at least build a lot more of the infrastructure that goes around those models and makes use of them. Code Copilot isn't just selling a raw LLM API, they're selling its integration into the Microsoft coding ecosystem. They may have wasted some money on their current-generation AIs but that's just sunk cost. They've got more money to spend on future AIs.

The main problem will be if Western AI companies are prevented from adapting the techniques being used by these Chinese AI companies. If, for example, there are lots of onerous regulations on what training data can be used or requiring extreme "safety guardrails." The United States seems likely to be getting rid of a lot of those sorts of obstructions over the next few years, though, so I wouldn't count the West out yet.

this post was submitted on 25 Jan 2025
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