257
Shocking stuff (sh.itjust.works)
submitted 2 weeks ago by sjmarf@sh.itjust.works to c/mathmemes
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[-] A_Very_Big_Fan@lemmy.world 59 points 2 weeks ago

I feel like there was probably a better way of graphing this tbh

[-] subtext@lemmy.world 28 points 2 weeks ago

Stacked area has to be better than this right?

[-] mkwt@lemmy.world 19 points 2 weeks ago

There should be a small, but not totally insignificant, probability of EC tie.

[-] Melatonin@lemmy.dbzer0.com 21 points 2 weeks ago

Which throws it to the house to decide.

We do not want this.

[-] iAmTheTot@sh.itjust.works 18 points 2 weeks ago
[-] grue@lemmy.world 6 points 2 weeks ago
[-] Zorque@lemmy.world 6 points 2 weeks ago

They're at the bottom, where they've always been.

[-] grue@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago

I was just explaining why the D and R mirroring was "almost" rather than exact.

[-] Lux 9 points 2 weeks ago

What kind of graph is this?

[-] EvacuateSoul@lemmy.world 11 points 2 weeks ago

Buttplug of best fit

[-] subtext@lemmy.world 11 points 2 weeks ago

I think it’s just a plain Jane line chart right? The reason it looks like this is because the two lines are n and 100%–n.

You might be thinking of a population pyramid chart which looks somewhat similar to this if it were rotated 90°

[-] Smorty 5 points 2 weeks ago
[-] megopie 11 points 2 weeks ago

As someone else said, it’s a betting site, and the numbers it is showing are based on how much has been bet on any given candidate.

I think it’s fair to say that it’s not a reliable indicator of actual odds. It’s essentially a money weighted poll from a self selected population (people who would use an online betting site to bet on an election). So, it is not a good random sample of American voters, let alone a random sample of voters from swing states that actually decide the outcome.

[-] Jakeroxs@sh.itjust.works 6 points 2 weeks ago

It's a stupid betting site

[-] marine_mustang@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 weeks ago
[-] tequinhu@lemmy.world 20 points 2 weeks ago

Bernoulli was a mathematician: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_distribution

The Probability Distribution named after him models binary variables

this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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