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this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2023
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I didn't realize it was going to be ActivityPub based. I see a lot of uncertainty here. What effect can Meta do to the Fediverse? Interesting to see how this plays out.
Imagine the fediverse is a big city, like New York or Tokyo, and every service is a neighbourhood inside that city. Meta's Threads is another new neighbourhood.
Can that new neighbourhood affect the whole city? Being a big city, I don't think so, in the same way Shibuya or Wall Street can't affect the whole Tokyo or New York.
Can that new neighbourhood affect the bordering neighbourhoods? Absolutely, it would be disingenuous to state the opposite.
So, the fediverse will stay safe. But about Mastodon, Misskey, Pleroma... I don't know. It depends.
I guess a lot depends on how many of Facebook/Instagram's users sign up for Threads, but it's pretty likely to be exactly the opposite scenario...
The fediverse is a small, friendly, relatively peaceful country town, and it's about to be directly connected to Tokyo or New York.
Which do you think is going to end up having more of an impact on the other?